H2O America Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| HTO Stock | 48.83 0.57 1.15% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of H2O America on the next trading day is expected to be 48.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.06. H2O Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although H2O America's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of H2O America's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of H2O America fundamentals over time.
At this time, H2O America's Receivables Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 27th of December 2025, Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 0.36, while Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 2.68. . As of the 27th of December 2025, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 22.6 M. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 H2O Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast H2O America's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in H2O America's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for H2O America stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current H2O America's open interest, investors have to compare it to H2O America's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of H2O America is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in H2O. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
H2O America Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of H2O America on the next trading day is expected to be 48.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60, mean absolute percentage error of 0.61, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.06.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict H2O Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that H2O America's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
H2O America Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest H2O America | H2O America Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
H2O America Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting H2O America's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. H2O America's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 47.29 and 50.41, respectively. We have considered H2O America's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of H2O America stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent H2O America stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0845 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6011 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0126 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 36.0642 |
Predictive Modules for H2O America
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as H2O America. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of H2O America's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for H2O America
For every potential investor in H2O, whether a beginner or expert, H2O America's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. H2O Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in H2O. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying H2O America's price trends.H2O America Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with H2O America stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of H2O America could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing H2O America by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
H2O America Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of H2O America's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of H2O America's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
H2O America Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how H2O America stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading H2O America shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying H2O America stock market strength indicators, traders can identify H2O America entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 4767.04 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.51) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 49.19 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 49.07 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.64) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.57) |
H2O America Risk Indicators
The analysis of H2O America's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in H2O America's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting h2o stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.12 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Variance | 2.34 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.17 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.02 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.10) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with H2O America
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if H2O America position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in H2O America will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against H2O Stock
| 0.63 | 688101 | Suntar Environmental | PairCorr |
| 0.47 | 000695 | Tianjin Binhai Energy | PairCorr |
| 0.36 | RWL | Rubicon Water | PairCorr |
| 0.31 | SBS | Companhia de Saneamento | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to H2O America could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace H2O America when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back H2O America - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling H2O America to buy it.
The correlation of H2O America is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as H2O America moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if H2O America moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for H2O America can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of H2O America to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in H2O Stock, please use our How to Invest in H2O America guide.You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Is Water Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of H2O America. If investors know H2O will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about H2O America listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.361 | Dividend Share 1.62 | Earnings Share 3 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.122 |
The market value of H2O America is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of H2O that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of H2O America's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is H2O America's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because H2O America's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect H2O America's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between H2O America's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if H2O America is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, H2O America's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.