Human Xtensions Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

HUMX Stock  ILA 31.00  1.90  6.53%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Human Xtensions on the next trading day is expected to be 31.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 91.10. Human Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Human Xtensions stock prices and determine the direction of Human Xtensions's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Human Xtensions' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Human Xtensions is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Human Xtensions Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Human Xtensions on the next trading day is expected to be 31.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.54, mean absolute percentage error of 5.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 91.10.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Human Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Human Xtensions' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Human Xtensions Stock Forecast Pattern

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Human Xtensions Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Human Xtensions' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Human Xtensions' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.80 and 36.20, respectively. We have considered Human Xtensions' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
31.00
31.00
Expected Value
36.20
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Human Xtensions stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Human Xtensions stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.0855
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.2831
MADMean absolute deviation1.5441
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0393
SAESum of the absolute errors91.1
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Human Xtensions price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Human Xtensions. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Human Xtensions

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Human Xtensions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.8031.0036.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.0129.2134.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
21.2833.7146.15
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Human Xtensions

For every potential investor in Human, whether a beginner or expert, Human Xtensions' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Human Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Human. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Human Xtensions' price trends.

Human Xtensions Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Human Xtensions stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Human Xtensions could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Human Xtensions by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Human Xtensions Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Human Xtensions' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Human Xtensions' current price.

Human Xtensions Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Human Xtensions stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Human Xtensions shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Human Xtensions stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Human Xtensions entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Human Xtensions Risk Indicators

The analysis of Human Xtensions' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Human Xtensions' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting human stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Human Stock

Human Xtensions financial ratios help investors to determine whether Human Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Human with respect to the benefits of owning Human Xtensions security.