Haverty Furniture Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| HVT Stock | USD 26.81 0.26 0.96% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Haverty Furniture Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 27.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.21. Haverty Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of Haverty Furniture's stock price is slightly above 64. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Haverty, making its price go up or down. Momentum 64
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.155 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.09 | Wall Street Target Price 30 |
Using Haverty Furniture hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Haverty Furniture Companies from the perspective of Haverty Furniture response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Haverty Furniture using Haverty Furniture's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Haverty using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Haverty Furniture's stock price.
Haverty Furniture Implied Volatility | 1.05 |
Haverty Furniture's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Haverty Furniture Companies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Haverty Furniture's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Haverty Furniture stock will not fluctuate a lot when Haverty Furniture's options are near their expiration.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Haverty Furniture Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 27.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.21. Haverty Furniture after-hype prediction price | USD 26.87 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Haverty Furniture to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Haverty contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Haverty Furniture Companies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0656% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Haverty Furniture trading at USD 26.81, that is roughly USD 0.0176 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Haverty Furniture's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Haverty Furniture Companies options at the current volatility level of 1.05%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Haverty Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Haverty Furniture's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Haverty Furniture's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Haverty Furniture stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Haverty Furniture's open interest, investors have to compare it to Haverty Furniture's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Haverty Furniture is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Haverty. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Haverty Furniture Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Haverty price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Haverty using various technical indicators. When you analyze Haverty charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Haverty Furniture Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Haverty Furniture Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 27.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54, mean absolute percentage error of 0.40, and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.21.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Haverty Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Haverty Furniture's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Haverty Furniture Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Haverty Furniture | Haverty Furniture Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Haverty Furniture Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Haverty Furniture's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Haverty Furniture's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.13 and 29.55, respectively. We have considered Haverty Furniture's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Haverty Furniture stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Haverty Furniture stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.0406 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5356 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0226 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 33.2056 |
Predictive Modules for Haverty Furniture
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Haverty Furniture. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Haverty Furniture's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Haverty Furniture After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Haverty Furniture at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Haverty Furniture or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Haverty Furniture, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Haverty Furniture Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Haverty Furniture's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Haverty Furniture's historical news coverage. Haverty Furniture's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.68 and 29.06, respectively. We have considered Haverty Furniture's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Haverty Furniture is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Haverty Furniture is based on 3 months time horizon.
Haverty Furniture Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Haverty Furniture is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Haverty Furniture backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Haverty Furniture, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.50 | 2.21 | 0.06 | 0.09 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
26.81 | 26.87 | 0.22 |
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Haverty Furniture Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January Haverty Furniture is traded for 26.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Haverty is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 26.87 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.22%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.5%. The volatility of related hype on Haverty Furniture is about 1248.59%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.90. The company reported the last year's revenue of 722.9 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 19.96 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 452.61 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Haverty Furniture to cross-verify your projections.Haverty Furniture Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Haverty Furniture's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Haverty Furniture's future price movements. Getting to know how Haverty Furniture's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Haverty Furniture may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DIN | Dine Brands Global | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.22 | 0.12 | 4.67 | (4.27) | 13.87 | |
| PTLO | Portillos | (0.42) | 8 per month | 2.59 | 0.01 | 5.19 | (4.25) | 14.89 | |
| CAL | Caleres | 0.30 | 7 per month | 3.46 | (0.0007) | 8.13 | (5.59) | 16.42 | |
| HNST | Honest Company | 0.04 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.62 | (3.89) | 30.78 | |
| INVZ | Innoviz Technologies | (0.04) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 6.14 | (7.48) | 34.74 | |
| WW | WW International Common | (1.15) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 10.00 | (8.96) | 27.90 | |
| HYLN | Hyliion Holdings Corp | (1.15) | 16 per month | 4.72 | (0) | 5.83 | (7.17) | 19.92 | |
| MCFT | MCBC Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.19 | (0.04) | 4.21 | (4.27) | 12.82 | |
| MPX | Marine Products | (0.10) | 4 per month | 2.24 | 0.06 | 3.28 | (3.41) | 10.53 | |
| NATH | Nathans Famous | 4.29 | 16 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.17 | (3.41) | 9.78 |
Other Forecasting Options for Haverty Furniture
For every potential investor in Haverty, whether a beginner or expert, Haverty Furniture's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Haverty Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Haverty. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Haverty Furniture's price trends.Haverty Furniture Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Haverty Furniture stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Haverty Furniture could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Haverty Furniture by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Haverty Furniture Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Haverty Furniture stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Haverty Furniture shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Haverty Furniture stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Haverty Furniture Companies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1212.56 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.30) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 27.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 26.94 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.32) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.26) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 64.97 |
Haverty Furniture Risk Indicators
The analysis of Haverty Furniture's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Haverty Furniture's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting haverty stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Variance | 4.45 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.01 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.3 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.09) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Haverty Furniture
The number of cover stories for Haverty Furniture depends on current market conditions and Haverty Furniture's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Haverty Furniture is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Haverty Furniture's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Haverty Furniture Short Properties
Haverty Furniture's future price predictability will typically decrease when Haverty Furniture's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Haverty Furniture Companies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Haverty Furniture's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Haverty Furniture's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 120 M |
Additional Tools for Haverty Stock Analysis
When running Haverty Furniture's price analysis, check to measure Haverty Furniture's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Haverty Furniture is operating at the current time. Most of Haverty Furniture's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Haverty Furniture's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Haverty Furniture's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Haverty Furniture to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.