Hexcel Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution

HXL Stock  USD 86.00  2.80  3.37%   
Hexcel Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Hexcel's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Hexcel's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Hexcel fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength indicator of Hexcel's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Hexcel's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Hexcel and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Hexcel's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hexcel, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Hexcel's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
8.178
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.4482
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.2369
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.0754
Wall Street Target Price
85.7143
Using Hexcel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hexcel from the perspective of Hexcel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Hexcel using Hexcel's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Hexcel using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Hexcel's stock price.

Hexcel Short Interest

An investor who is long Hexcel may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Hexcel and may potentially protect profits, hedge Hexcel with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
65.0364
Short Percent
0.0854
Short Ratio
5.3
Shares Short Prior Month
6.2 M
50 Day MA
78.491

Hexcel Relative Strength Index

Hexcel Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Hexcel's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Hexcel. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Hexcel can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Hexcel. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Hexcel's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Hexcel.

Hexcel Implied Volatility

    
  0.48  
Hexcel's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hexcel stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hexcel's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hexcel stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hexcel's options are near their expiration.

Hexcel after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 86.23  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hexcel to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Hexcel Stock please use our How to buy in Hexcel Stock guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Hexcel contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Hexcel will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.03% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Hexcel trading at USD 86.0, that is roughly USD 0.0258 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Hexcel's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Hexcel options at the current volatility level of 0.48%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Hexcel Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Hexcel's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Hexcel's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Hexcel stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Hexcel's open interest, investors have to compare it to Hexcel's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Hexcel is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Hexcel. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Hexcel Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Hexcel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hexcel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hexcel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Hexcel has current Accumulation Distribution of 0.0252. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Hexcel is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Hexcel to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Hexcel trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Hexcel VolatilityBacktest HexcelInformation Ratio  

Hexcel Trading Date Momentum

On February 09 2026 Hexcel was traded for  86.00  at the closing time. Highest Hexcel's price during the trading hours was 86.28  and the lowest price during the day was  84.11 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 9th of February did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 1.90% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Hexcel to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Hexcel

For every potential investor in Hexcel, whether a beginner or expert, Hexcel's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hexcel Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hexcel. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hexcel's price trends.

Hexcel Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hexcel stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hexcel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hexcel by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hexcel Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hexcel stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hexcel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hexcel stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hexcel entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hexcel Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hexcel's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hexcel's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hexcel stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Hexcel

The number of cover stories for Hexcel depends on current market conditions and Hexcel's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hexcel is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hexcel's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Hexcel Short Properties

Hexcel's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hexcel's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hexcel often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hexcel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hexcel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding80 M
Cash And Short Term Investments71 M
When determining whether Hexcel is a strong investment it is important to analyze Hexcel's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Hexcel's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Hexcel Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hexcel to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Hexcel Stock please use our How to buy in Hexcel Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Is Aerospace & Defense space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hexcel. Market participants price Hexcel higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Hexcel assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
8.178
Dividend Share
0.68
Earnings Share
1.37
Revenue Per Share
23.823
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.037
The market value of Hexcel is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hexcel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hexcel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hexcel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hexcel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hexcel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hexcel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hexcel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Hexcel's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.