MarineMax Stock Forward View
| HZO Stock | USD 29.98 0.60 2.04% |
MarineMax Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although MarineMax's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of MarineMax's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of MarineMax fundamentals over time.
As of today the value of rsi of MarineMax's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1379 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.7524 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.6701 | Wall Street Target Price 31.8571 |
Using MarineMax hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MarineMax from the perspective of MarineMax response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards MarineMax using MarineMax's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards MarineMax using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of MarineMax's stock price.
MarineMax Short Interest
An investor who is long MarineMax may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about MarineMax and may potentially protect profits, hedge MarineMax with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 24.8972 | Short Percent 0.2225 | Short Ratio 14.27 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.2 M | 50 Day MA 26.0214 |
MarineMax Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of MarineMax on the next trading day is expected to be 29.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.84 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.24.MarineMax Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to MarineMax's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in MarineMax. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding MarineMax can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around MarineMax. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of MarineMax's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about MarineMax.
MarineMax Implied Volatility | 1.03 |
MarineMax's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of MarineMax stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if MarineMax's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that MarineMax stock will not fluctuate a lot when MarineMax's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of MarineMax on the next trading day is expected to be 29.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.84 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.24. MarineMax after-hype prediction price | USD 29.69 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
MarineMax | Build AI portfolio with MarineMax Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current MarineMax contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that MarineMax will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0644% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With MarineMax trading at USD 29.98, that is roughly USD 0.0193 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating MarineMax's daily price movement you should consider acquiring MarineMax options at the current volatility level of 1.03%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 MarineMax Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast MarineMax's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in MarineMax's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for MarineMax stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current MarineMax's open interest, investors have to compare it to MarineMax's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of MarineMax is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in MarineMax. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
MarineMax Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MarineMax price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MarineMax using various technical indicators. When you analyze MarineMax charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
MarineMax Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the MarineMax's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 1998-06-30 | Previous Quarter 170.4 M | Current Value 164.6 M | Quarterly Volatility 71.9 M |
MarineMax Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of MarineMax on the next trading day is expected to be 29.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.84, mean absolute percentage error of 1.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.24.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MarineMax Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MarineMax's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
MarineMax Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest MarineMax | MarineMax Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
MarineMax Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting MarineMax's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MarineMax's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.21 and 33.54, respectively. We have considered MarineMax's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MarineMax stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MarineMax stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.1072 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8425 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0327 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 52.237 |
Predictive Modules for MarineMax
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MarineMax. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MarineMax After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MarineMax at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MarineMax or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MarineMax, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MarineMax Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MarineMax's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MarineMax's historical news coverage. MarineMax's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.03 and 33.35, respectively. We have considered MarineMax's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MarineMax is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MarineMax is based on 3 months time horizon.
MarineMax Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MarineMax is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MarineMax backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MarineMax, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.46 | 3.66 | 0.29 | 0.09 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
29.98 | 29.69 | 0.97 |
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MarineMax Hype Timeline
On the 7th of February MarineMax is traded for 29.98. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.29, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. MarineMax is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 29.69. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.97%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.46%. The volatility of related hype on MarineMax is about 1926.32%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.07. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.69. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. MarineMax has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.62. The entity recorded a loss per share of 2.64. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MarineMax to cross-verify your projections.MarineMax Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MarineMax's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MarineMax's future price movements. Getting to know how MarineMax's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MarineMax may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ZKH | ZKH Group Limited | (0.10) | 9 per month | 2.59 | 0.07 | 6.38 | (3.27) | 25.66 | |
| BWMX | Betterware de Mxico | 0.21 | 5 per month | 1.50 | 0.11 | 3.90 | (2.45) | 16.38 | |
| SFIX | Stitch Fix | (0.11) | 12 per month | 3.36 | 0.01 | 6.80 | (6.20) | 19.91 | |
| ARKO | Arko Corp | 0.19 | 8 per month | 2.58 | 0.18 | 6.64 | (2.93) | 15.13 | |
| YSG | Yatsen Holding | 0.09 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 7.79 | (6.13) | 38.70 | |
| JMIA | Jumia Technologies AG | 0.05 | 9 per month | 3.84 | 0.03 | 8.34 | (6.32) | 18.79 | |
| MBUU | Malibu Boats | 1.40 | 8 per month | 2.95 | 0.06 | 4.10 | (4.11) | 18.40 | |
| LE | Lands End | 0.12 | 12 per month | 3.35 | 0.05 | 6.31 | (6.46) | 41.83 | |
| LEGH | Legacy Housing Corp | (0.01) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.95 | (2.89) | 10.51 | |
| SCVL | Shoe Carnival | 0.06 | 9 per month | 2.69 | 0.06 | 4.98 | (4.71) | 11.78 |
Other Forecasting Options for MarineMax
For every potential investor in MarineMax, whether a beginner or expert, MarineMax's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MarineMax Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MarineMax. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MarineMax's price trends.MarineMax Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MarineMax stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MarineMax could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MarineMax by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
MarineMax Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MarineMax stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MarineMax shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MarineMax stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MarineMax entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 10282.77 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5505 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 29.76 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 29.83 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.53 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.6 |
MarineMax Risk Indicators
The analysis of MarineMax's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MarineMax's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting marinemax stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.62 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.59 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.63 | |||
| Variance | 13.15 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.43 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.69 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.67) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for MarineMax
The number of cover stories for MarineMax depends on current market conditions and MarineMax's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MarineMax is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MarineMax's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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MarineMax Short Properties
MarineMax's future price predictability will typically decrease when MarineMax's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MarineMax often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MarineMax's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MarineMax's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 170.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MarineMax to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in MarineMax Stock, please use our How to Invest in MarineMax guide.You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Will Other Specialty Retail sector continue expanding? Could MarineMax diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MarineMax. Market participants price MarineMax higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every MarineMax data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1 | Earnings Share (2.64) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.078 | Return On Assets |
The market value of MarineMax is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MarineMax that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MarineMax's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MarineMax's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because MarineMax's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MarineMax's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MarineMax's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MarineMax is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, MarineMax's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.