IA Financial Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| IAG Stock | CAD 167.31 0.40 0.24% |
IAG Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although IA Financial's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of IA Financial's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of IA Financial fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength indicator of IA Financial's share price is approaching 44. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling IA Financial, making its price go up or down. Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.308 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 3.251 | EPS Estimate Current Year 13.1658 | EPS Estimate Next Year 14.0968 | Wall Street Target Price 182.8572 |
Using IA Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of iA Financial from the perspective of IA Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of iA Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 160.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.99 and the sum of the absolute errors of 121.10. IA Financial after-hype prediction price | CAD 167.32 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
IAG |
IA Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine IAG price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for IAG using various technical indicators. When you analyze IAG charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
IA Financial Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of iA Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 160.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.99, mean absolute percentage error of 5.70, and the sum of the absolute errors of 121.10.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IAG Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IA Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
IA Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest IA Financial | IA Financial Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
IA Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting IA Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IA Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 158.91 and 161.41, respectively. We have considered IA Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IA Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IA Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.8502 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.9852 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0117 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 121.0959 |
Predictive Modules for IA Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as iA Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.IA Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of IA Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in IA Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of IA Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
IA Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting IA Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on IA Financial's historical news coverage. IA Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 166.07 and 168.57, respectively. We have considered IA Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
IA Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of iA Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
IA Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as IA Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading IA Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with IA Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.25 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
167.31 | 167.32 | 0.01 |
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IA Financial Hype Timeline
iA Financial is currently traded for 167.31on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. IAG is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 167.32 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on IA Financial is about 1506.02%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 167.31. The company reported the revenue of 7.93 B. Net Income was 1.23 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.05 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IA Financial to cross-verify your projections.IA Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to IA Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict IA Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how IA Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how IA Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| XMF-A | M Split Corp | (0.50) | 2 per month | 4.83 | 0.12 | 15.38 | (12.50) | 67.64 | |
| LITT | Roadman Investments Corp | 0.1 | 1 per month | 6.50 | 0.1 | 18.75 | (15.79) | 84.85 | |
| ZUAG-U | BMO Aggregate Bond | (0.02) | 1 per month | 0.12 | (0.26) | 0.26 | (0.23) | 0.93 | |
| XHB | iShares Canadian HYBrid | (0.19) | 2 per month | 0.18 | (0.20) | 0.25 | (0.35) | 0.85 | |
| EDGF | Brompton European Dividend | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.52 | 0.03 | 1.23 | (1.07) | 3.90 | |
| SOLR | Solar Alliance Energy | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 0.00 | (25.00) | 83.33 | |
| ECO | EcoSynthetix | (0.19) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.00 | (4.54) | 14.53 | |
| ERE-UN | European Residential Real | (0.01) | 5 per month | 0.76 | 0.05 | 1.82 | (1.82) | 4.43 | |
| CLU | iShares Fundamental Hedged | (0.04) | 2 per month | 0.42 | 0.09 | 1.24 | (0.89) | 2.47 | |
| RUDB | RBC Discount Bond | 0.02 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.41 | (0.72) | 1.56 |
Other Forecasting Options for IA Financial
For every potential investor in IAG, whether a beginner or expert, IA Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IAG Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IAG. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IA Financial's price trends.IA Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IA Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IA Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IA Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
IA Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IA Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IA Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IA Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify iA Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
IA Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of IA Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IA Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting iag stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9063 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Variance | 1.54 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.03 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.85 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.87) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for IA Financial
The number of cover stories for IA Financial depends on current market conditions and IA Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that IA Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about IA Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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IA Financial Short Properties
IA Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when IA Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of iA Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential IA Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IA Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 96 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
Other Information on Investing in IAG Stock
IA Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether IAG Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in IAG with respect to the benefits of owning IA Financial security.