Intact Financial Stock Price Prediction

IFC Stock  CAD 271.68  1.03  0.38%   
As of today, The relative strength indicator of Intact Financial's share price is at 55. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Intact Financial, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

55

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Intact Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Intact Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Intact Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Intact Financial from the perspective of Intact Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Intact Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Intact because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Intact Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 272.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Intact Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
228.32229.16298.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
273.83274.66275.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
271.05272.02272.99
Details

Intact Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Intact Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Intact Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Intact Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Intact Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Intact Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Intact Financial's historical news coverage. Intact Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 271.16 and 272.84, respectively. We have considered Intact Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
271.68
271.16
Downside
272.00
After-hype Price
272.84
Upside
Intact Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Intact Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Intact Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Intact Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Intact Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Intact Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
0.84
 0.00  
  0.01 
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
271.68
272.00
0.12 
0.00  
Notes

Intact Financial Hype Timeline

Intact Financial is currently traded for 271.68on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Intact is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 272.0 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 0.12%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Intact Financial is about 976.74%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 271.69. The company reported the revenue of 22.09 B. Net Income was 1.8 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.7 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Intact Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Intact Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Intact Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Intact Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Intact Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Intact Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Intact Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Intact price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Intact using various technical indicators. When you analyze Intact charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Intact Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Intact Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Intact Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Intact Financial based on analysis of Intact Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Intact Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Intact Financial's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Intact Financial

The number of cover stories for Intact Financial depends on current market conditions and Intact Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Intact Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Intact Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Intact Financial Short Properties

Intact Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Intact Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Intact Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Intact Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intact Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding176.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.6 B

Other Information on Investing in Intact Stock

Intact Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Intact Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Intact with respect to the benefits of owning Intact Financial security.