Integral Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| IAS Stock | USD 10.34 0.00 0.00% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Integral Ad Science on the next trading day is expected to be 10.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.79. Integral Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of Integral's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.60) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2513 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.74 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.9 | Wall Street Target Price 10.7833 |
Using Integral hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Integral Ad Science from the perspective of Integral response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Integral using Integral's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Integral using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Integral's stock price.
Integral Short Interest
An investor who is long Integral may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Integral and may potentially protect profits, hedge Integral with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 8.8157 | Short Percent 0.0816 | Short Ratio 5.83 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.6 M | 50 Day MA 10.2544 |
Integral Ad Science Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Integral's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Integral. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Integral can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Integral Ad Science. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Integral's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Integral.
Integral Implied Volatility | 0.41 |
Integral's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Integral Ad Science stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Integral's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Integral stock will not fluctuate a lot when Integral's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Integral Ad Science on the next trading day is expected to be 10.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.79. Integral after-hype prediction price | USD 10.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Integral Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Integral's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Integral's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Integral stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Integral's open interest, investors have to compare it to Integral's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Integral is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Integral. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Integral Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Integral price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Integral using various technical indicators. When you analyze Integral charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Integral's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2020-03-31 | Previous Quarter 90.7 M | Current Value 129.2 M | Quarterly Volatility 31.1 M |
Integral Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 19th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Integral Ad Science on the next trading day is expected to be 10.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.79.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Integral Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Integral's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Integral Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Integral | Integral Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Integral stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Integral stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.9211 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0129 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0013 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.7885 |
Predictive Modules for Integral
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Integral Ad Science. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Integral Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Integral stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Integral could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Integral by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Integral Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Integral stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Integral shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Integral stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Integral Ad Science entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Integral Risk Indicators
The analysis of Integral's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Integral's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting integral stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6316 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.52 | |||
| Variance | 6.37 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0586 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.31) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.99) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for Integral Stock Analysis
When running Integral's price analysis, check to measure Integral's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Integral is operating at the current time. Most of Integral's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Integral's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Integral's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Integral to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.