Criteo Sa Stock Price Prediction

CRTO Stock  USD 39.96  1.34  3.47%   
As of today, the relative strength momentum indicator of Criteo Sa's share price is approaching 43 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Criteo Sa, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

43

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Criteo Sa's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Criteo Sa, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Criteo Sa's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.08)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.46
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.181
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.3321
Wall Street Target Price
51.9231
Using Criteo Sa hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Criteo Sa from the perspective of Criteo Sa response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Criteo Sa Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Criteo Sa's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Criteo. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Criteo can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Criteo Sa. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Criteo Sa's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Criteo Sa.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Criteo Sa to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Criteo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Criteo Sa after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 40.28  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Criteo Sa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Criteo Stock, please use our How to Invest in Criteo Sa guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Criteo Sa's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.0840.6044.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
40.2543.7747.29
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
37.2440.9245.42
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.991.051.09
Details

Criteo Sa After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Criteo Sa at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Criteo Sa or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Criteo Sa, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Criteo Sa Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Criteo Sa's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Criteo Sa's historical news coverage. Criteo Sa's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.76 and 43.80, respectively. We have considered Criteo Sa's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
39.96
40.28
After-hype Price
43.80
Upside
Criteo Sa is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Criteo Sa is based on 3 months time horizon.

Criteo Sa Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Criteo Sa is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Criteo Sa backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Criteo Sa, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.20 
3.51
  0.23 
  0.13 
10 Events / Month
10 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
39.96
40.28
0.80 
300.00  
Notes

Criteo Sa Hype Timeline

Criteo Sa is currently traded for 39.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.23, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.13. Criteo is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 40.28 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.8%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Criteo Sa is about 521.49%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.09. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.95 B. Net Income was 54.64 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 795.2 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Criteo Sa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Criteo Stock, please use our How to Invest in Criteo Sa guide.

Criteo Sa Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Criteo Sa's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Criteo Sa's future price movements. Getting to know how Criteo Sa's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Criteo Sa may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DLXDeluxe 0.04 8 per month 1.68  0.08  3.65 (3.09) 12.68 
EEXEmerald Expositions Events(0.19)8 per month 5.15 (0) 4.73 (7.44) 36.80 
MCHXMarchex 0.10 7 per month 0.00 (0.13) 5.85 (5.29) 16.97 
IASIntegral Ad Science(0.06)10 per month 2.98 (0.04) 3.45 (2.41) 23.54 
CMPRCimpress NV 8.43 9 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.76 (4.08) 16.61 
QNSTQuinStreet(0.39)9 per month 2.96  0.11  5.54 (5.19) 17.37 
IPGInterpublic Group of(0.32)8 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.05 (1.60) 9.73 
ADVAdvantage Solutions(0.11)10 per month 3.38 (0.02) 4.90 (4.86) 21.91 
ZDZiff Davis 0.22 8 per month 2.05  0.10  3.26 (3.72) 19.49 
WPPWPP PLC ADR 1.06 7 per month 1.13  0.06  2.12 (1.96) 8.80 
EVCEntravision Communications 0.02 10 per month 2.30  0.11  5.05 (4.41) 14.74 
DRCTDirect Digital Holdings 0.11 8 per month 0.00 (0.13) 8.40 (16.56) 55.53 
TSQTownsquare Media(0.16)9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.24 (2.72) 9.63 

Criteo Sa Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Criteo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Criteo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Criteo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Criteo Sa Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Criteo Sa stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Criteo Sa, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Criteo Sa based on analysis of Criteo Sa hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Criteo Sa's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Criteo Sa's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding109.04128.29167.43175.8
PTB Ratio2.031.491.321.25

Story Coverage note for Criteo Sa

The number of cover stories for Criteo Sa depends on current market conditions and Criteo Sa's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Criteo Sa is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Criteo Sa's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Criteo Sa Short Properties

Criteo Sa's future price predictability will typically decrease when Criteo Sa's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Criteo Sa often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Criteo Sa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Criteo Sa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding60.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments417.3 M
When determining whether Criteo Sa offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Criteo Sa's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Criteo Sa Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Criteo Sa Stock:
Check out Criteo Sa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Criteo Stock, please use our How to Invest in Criteo Sa guide.
You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Is Advertising space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Criteo Sa. If investors know Criteo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Criteo Sa listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.08)
Earnings Share
1.71
Revenue Per Share
35.282
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
Return On Assets
0.0484
The market value of Criteo Sa is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Criteo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Criteo Sa's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Criteo Sa's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Criteo Sa's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Criteo Sa's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Criteo Sa's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Criteo Sa is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Criteo Sa's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.