Integral Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression

IASDelisted Stock  USD 10.34  0.00  0.00%   
Integral Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Integral's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Integral's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Integral and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Integral's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Integral Ad Science, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Integral hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Integral Ad Science from the perspective of Integral response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Integral Ad Science on the next trading day is expected to be 10.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.02.

Integral after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 10.34  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Integral Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Integral price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Integral using various technical indicators. When you analyze Integral charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Integral polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Integral Ad Science as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Integral Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 9th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Integral Ad Science on the next trading day is expected to be 10.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.02.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Integral Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Integral's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Integral Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Integral  Integral Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Integral stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Integral stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.3746
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0168
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0016
SAESum of the absolute errors1.0249
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Integral historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Integral

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Integral Ad Science. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.1110.3410.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.538.7611.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Integral. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Integral's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Integral's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Integral Ad Science.

Integral After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Integral at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Integral or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Integral, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Integral Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Integral's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Integral's historical news coverage. Integral's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.11 and 10.57, respectively. We have considered Integral's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
10.34
10.34
After-hype Price
10.57
Upside
Integral is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Integral Ad Science is based on 3 months time horizon.

Integral Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Integral is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Integral backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Integral, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.02 
0.23
 0.00  
 0.00  
11 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.34
10.34
0.00 
2,300  
Notes

Integral Hype Timeline

On the 8th of February Integral Ad Science is traded for 10.34. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Integral is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Integral is about 108.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.34. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.57. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Integral Ad Science had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Integral Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Integral's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Integral's future price movements. Getting to know how Integral's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Integral may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Integral Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Integral stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Integral could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Integral by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Integral Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Integral stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Integral shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Integral stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Integral Ad Science entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Integral Risk Indicators

The analysis of Integral's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Integral's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting integral stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Integral

The number of cover stories for Integral depends on current market conditions and Integral's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Integral is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Integral's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Integral Short Properties

Integral's future price predictability will typically decrease when Integral's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Integral Ad Science often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Integral's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Integral's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding165.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments84.5 M
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

Other Consideration for investing in Integral Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Integral Ad Science check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Integral's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
ETF Categories
List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments
Financial Widgets
Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
Sectors
List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities
Theme Ratings
Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Share Portfolio
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume