IBEX Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| IBEX Stock | USD 37.24 0.76 2.08% |
IBEX Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength indicator of IBEX's share price is approaching 47. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling IBEX, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.907 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.805 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.375 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.55 | Wall Street Target Price 41 |
Using IBEX hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of IBEX from the perspective of IBEX response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards IBEX using IBEX's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards IBEX using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of IBEX's stock price.
IBEX Implied Volatility | 0.9 |
IBEX's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of IBEX stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if IBEX's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that IBEX stock will not fluctuate a lot when IBEX's options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of IBEX on the next trading day is expected to be 37.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.56 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.52. IBEX after-hype prediction price | USD 37.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IBEX to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current IBEX contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that IBEX will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0563% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With IBEX trading at USD 37.24, that is roughly USD 0.0209 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating IBEX's daily price movement you should consider acquiring IBEX options at the current volatility level of 0.9%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 IBEX Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast IBEX's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in IBEX's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for IBEX stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current IBEX's open interest, investors have to compare it to IBEX's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of IBEX is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in IBEX. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
IBEX Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine IBEX price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for IBEX using various technical indicators. When you analyze IBEX charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
IBEX Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of IBEX on the next trading day is expected to be 37.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.56, mean absolute percentage error of 0.51, and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.52.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IBEX Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IBEX's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
IBEX Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest IBEX | IBEX Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
IBEX Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting IBEX's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IBEX's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 35.30 and 38.89, respectively. We have considered IBEX's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IBEX stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IBEX stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1007 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5587 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0151 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 33.5213 |
Predictive Modules for IBEX
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IBEX. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IBEX's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
IBEX After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of IBEX at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in IBEX or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of IBEX, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
IBEX Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting IBEX's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on IBEX's historical news coverage. IBEX's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.45 and 39.03, respectively. We have considered IBEX's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
IBEX is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of IBEX is based on 3 months time horizon.
IBEX Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as IBEX is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading IBEX backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with IBEX, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.79 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
37.24 | 37.24 | 0.00 |
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IBEX Hype Timeline
IBEX is currently traded for 37.24. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. IBEX is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on IBEX is about 184.16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.26. About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of IBEX was currently reported as 10.7. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IBEX to cross-verify your projections.IBEX Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to IBEX's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict IBEX's future price movements. Getting to know how IBEX's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how IBEX may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HCKT | The Hackett Group | 0.28 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.91 | (2.28) | 10.46 | |
| TLS | Telos Corp | (0.15) | 21 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.84 | (5.45) | 37.35 | |
| TSSI | TSS Common Stock | (0.15) | 17 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 8.77 | (7.95) | 55.90 | |
| LZMH | LZ Technology Holdings | 9.42 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 9.56 | (15.48) | 58.11 | |
| DAVA | Endava | (0.22) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 4.93 | (4.55) | 31.38 | |
| CNDT | Conduent | (0.05) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.49 | (5.59) | 23.18 | |
| CLMB | Climb Global Solutions | 1.05 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.28 | (5.36) | 13.98 | |
| XRX | Xerox Corp | (0.07) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 7.52 | (7.72) | 22.00 | |
| OSPN | OneSpan | (0.60) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.47 | (4.97) | 28.76 | |
| NBP | NovaBridge Biosciences | 0.21 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 7.25 | (7.14) | 22.59 |
Other Forecasting Options for IBEX
For every potential investor in IBEX, whether a beginner or expert, IBEX's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IBEX Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IBEX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IBEX's price trends.IBEX Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IBEX stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IBEX could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IBEX by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
IBEX Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IBEX stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IBEX shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IBEX stock market strength indicators, traders can identify IBEX entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 6507.1 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.4691 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 36.43 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 36.7 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.19 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.76 |
IBEX Risk Indicators
The analysis of IBEX's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IBEX's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ibex stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Variance | 3.02 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for IBEX
The number of cover stories for IBEX depends on current market conditions and IBEX's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that IBEX is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about IBEX's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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IBEX Short Properties
IBEX's future price predictability will typically decrease when IBEX's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of IBEX often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential IBEX's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IBEX's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 15.3 M |
Additional Tools for IBEX Stock Analysis
When running IBEX's price analysis, check to measure IBEX's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IBEX is operating at the current time. Most of IBEX's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IBEX's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IBEX's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IBEX to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.