Innovation Beverage Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| IBG Stock | 1.01 0.02 1.94% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Innovation Beverage Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.38. Innovation Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Innovation Beverage's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 25th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Innovation Beverage's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (0.16) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.05) | Wall Street Target Price 4 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.39) |
Using Innovation Beverage hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Innovation Beverage Group from the perspective of Innovation Beverage response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Innovation Beverage Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.38. Innovation Beverage after-hype prediction price | USD 0.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Innovation | Build AI portfolio with Innovation Stock |
Innovation Beverage Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Innovation price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Innovation using various technical indicators. When you analyze Innovation charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Innovation Beverage Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Innovation Beverage's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 558 K | Current Value 430.2 K | Quarterly Volatility 317.5 K |
Innovation Beverage Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Innovation Beverage Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.38.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Innovation Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Innovation Beverage's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Innovation Beverage Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Innovation Beverage | Innovation Beverage Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Innovation Beverage Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Innovation Beverage's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Innovation Beverage's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 8.95, respectively. We have considered Innovation Beverage's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Innovation Beverage stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Innovation Beverage stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.7648 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1537 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0763 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.3754 |
Predictive Modules for Innovation Beverage
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Innovation Beverage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Innovation Beverage After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Innovation Beverage at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Innovation Beverage or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Innovation Beverage, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Innovation Beverage Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Innovation Beverage's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Innovation Beverage's historical news coverage. Innovation Beverage's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 8.98, respectively. We have considered Innovation Beverage's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Innovation Beverage is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Innovation Beverage is based on 3 months time horizon.
Innovation Beverage Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Innovation Beverage is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Innovation Beverage backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Innovation Beverage, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.76 | 8.02 | 0.11 | 0.09 | 7 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.01 | 0.90 | 10.89 |
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Innovation Beverage Hype Timeline
On the 25th of January Innovation Beverage is traded for 1.01. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Innovation is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.9. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -10.89%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -1.76%. The volatility of related hype on Innovation Beverage is about 15143.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.92. About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.31. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Innovation Beverage recorded a loss per share of 1.55. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:5 split on the 26th of September 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Innovation Beverage to cross-verify your projections.Innovation Beverage Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Innovation Beverage's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Innovation Beverage's future price movements. Getting to know how Innovation Beverage's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Innovation Beverage may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EEIQ | Elite Education Group | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 8.33 | (6.67) | 24.43 | |
| SBEV | Splash Beverage Group | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 15.58 | (14.84) | 74.08 | |
| GNLN | Greenlane Holdings | (0.02) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 6.62 | (10.68) | 26.61 | |
| GSUN | Golden Sun Education | (0.15) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 6.90 | (9.89) | 27.57 | |
| GV | Visionary Education Technology | 0.08 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 7.46 | (5.80) | 43.33 | |
| SDOT | Sadot Group | (0.18) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 19.25 | (20.09) | 58.45 | |
| VSTD | Vestand | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 11.54 | (15.38) | 41.27 | |
| EDBL | Edible Garden AG | (0.08) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 11.48 | (11.39) | 44.05 | |
| KAVL | Kaival Brands Innovations | 0.0004 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.39) | 9.59 | (30.00) | 53.21 | |
| AQB | AquaBounty Technologies | (0.18) | 21 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 7.87 | (8.11) | 29.80 |
Other Forecasting Options for Innovation Beverage
For every potential investor in Innovation, whether a beginner or expert, Innovation Beverage's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Innovation Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Innovation. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Innovation Beverage's price trends.Innovation Beverage Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Innovation Beverage stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Innovation Beverage could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Innovation Beverage by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Innovation Beverage Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Innovation Beverage stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Innovation Beverage shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Innovation Beverage stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Innovation Beverage Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Innovation Beverage Risk Indicators
The analysis of Innovation Beverage's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Innovation Beverage's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting innovation stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.0 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.9 | |||
| Variance | 62.48 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Innovation Beverage
The number of cover stories for Innovation Beverage depends on current market conditions and Innovation Beverage's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Innovation Beverage is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Innovation Beverage's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Innovation Beverage Short Properties
Innovation Beverage's future price predictability will typically decrease when Innovation Beverage's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Innovation Beverage Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Innovation Beverage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Innovation Beverage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 619.9 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Innovation Beverage to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Distillers & Vintners space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Innovation Beverage. If investors know Innovation will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Innovation Beverage listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.55) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.39) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Innovation Beverage is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Innovation that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Innovation Beverage's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Innovation Beverage's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Innovation Beverage's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Innovation Beverage's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Innovation Beverage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Innovation Beverage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Innovation Beverage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.