ICICI Bank Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| IBN Stock | USD 29.15 0.01 0.03% |
ICICI Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although ICICI Bank's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of ICICI Bank's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of ICICI Bank fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of ICICI Bank's share price is approaching 38. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling ICICI Bank, making its price go up or down. Momentum 38
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.525 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.7799 | Wall Street Target Price 39.125 |
Using ICICI Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ICICI Bank Limited from the perspective of ICICI Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ICICI Bank using ICICI Bank's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ICICI using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ICICI Bank's stock price.
ICICI Bank Short Interest
An investor who is long ICICI Bank may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about ICICI Bank and may potentially protect profits, hedge ICICI Bank with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 32.0367 | Short Percent 0.0182 | Short Ratio 5.74 | Shares Short Prior Month 25 M | 50 Day MA 30.4482 |
ICICI Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ICICI Bank Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 27.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.94.ICICI Bank Limited Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to ICICI Bank's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ICICI. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ICICI can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ICICI Bank Limited. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of ICICI Bank's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about ICICI Bank.
ICICI Bank Implied Volatility | 0.4 |
ICICI Bank's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ICICI Bank Limited stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ICICI Bank's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ICICI Bank stock will not fluctuate a lot when ICICI Bank's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ICICI Bank Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 27.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.94. ICICI Bank after-hype prediction price | USD 29.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ICICI Bank to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current ICICI contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that ICICI Bank Limited will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.025% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With ICICI Bank trading at USD 29.15, that is roughly USD 0.007288 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating ICICI Bank's daily price movement you should consider acquiring ICICI Bank Limited options at the current volatility level of 0.4%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 ICICI Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast ICICI Bank's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in ICICI Bank's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for ICICI Bank stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current ICICI Bank's open interest, investors have to compare it to ICICI Bank's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of ICICI Bank is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in ICICI. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
ICICI Bank Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ICICI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ICICI using various technical indicators. When you analyze ICICI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ICICI Bank Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the ICICI Bank's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 1999-12-31 | Previous Quarter 1.7 T | Current Value 146.3 B | Quarterly Volatility 593.3 B |
ICICI Bank Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ICICI Bank Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 27.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 0.1, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.94.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ICICI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ICICI Bank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ICICI Bank Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ICICI Bank | ICICI Bank Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
ICICI Bank Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting ICICI Bank's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ICICI Bank's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.45 and 28.54, respectively. We have considered ICICI Bank's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ICICI Bank stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ICICI Bank stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.7758 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2449 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0081 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 14.9417 |
Predictive Modules for ICICI Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ICICI Bank Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ICICI Bank After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ICICI Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ICICI Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ICICI Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ICICI Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ICICI Bank's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ICICI Bank's historical news coverage. ICICI Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.11 and 30.19, respectively. We have considered ICICI Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ICICI Bank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ICICI Bank Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
ICICI Bank Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ICICI Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ICICI Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ICICI Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.05 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
29.15 | 29.15 | 0.00 |
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ICICI Bank Hype Timeline
On the 26th of January ICICI Bank Limited is traded for 29.15. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. ICICI is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on ICICI Bank is about 227.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.19. About 19.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of ICICI Bank was currently reported as 5.32. The company last dividend was issued on the 12th of August 2025. ICICI Bank Limited had 11:10 split on the 19th of June 2017. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ICICI Bank to cross-verify your projections.ICICI Bank Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ICICI Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ICICI Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how ICICI Bank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ICICI Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MFG | Mizuho Financial Group | 0.09 | 7 per month | 1.15 | 0.23 | 2.99 | (2.03) | 7.66 | |
| UBS | UBS Group AG | 0.03 | 8 per month | 1.01 | 0.18 | 2.57 | (1.92) | 6.86 | |
| BBVA | Banco Bilbao Viscaya | 0.36 | 10 per month | 1.17 | 0.19 | 2.92 | (1.98) | 6.55 | |
| CB | Chubb | (0.13) | 25 per month | 0.67 | 0.1 | 2.32 | (1.87) | 5.16 | |
| BMO | Bank of Montreal | 2.03 | 10 per month | 0.95 | 0.07 | 1.86 | (1.68) | 4.05 | |
| LYG | Lloyds Banking Group | 0.01 | 7 per month | 1.05 | 0.19 | 2.41 | (2.11) | 6.27 | |
| HDB | HDFC Bank Limited | 0.46 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.27 | (1.94) | 8.44 | |
| USB | US Bancorp | 0.13 | 36 per month | 0.82 | 0.16 | 2.52 | (1.35) | 6.01 | |
| PNC | PNC Financial Services | 1.17 | 7 per month | 0.60 | 0.18 | 2.38 | (1.53) | 5.33 |
Other Forecasting Options for ICICI Bank
For every potential investor in ICICI, whether a beginner or expert, ICICI Bank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ICICI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ICICI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ICICI Bank's price trends.ICICI Bank Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ICICI Bank stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ICICI Bank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ICICI Bank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ICICI Bank Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ICICI Bank stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ICICI Bank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ICICI Bank stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ICICI Bank Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
ICICI Bank Risk Indicators
The analysis of ICICI Bank's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ICICI Bank's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting icici stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7323 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Variance | 1.14 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ICICI Bank
The number of cover stories for ICICI Bank depends on current market conditions and ICICI Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ICICI Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ICICI Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ICICI Bank Short Properties
ICICI Bank's future price predictability will typically decrease when ICICI Bank's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ICICI Bank Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ICICI Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ICICI Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.4 T |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ICICI Bank to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Is Diversified Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ICICI Bank. If investors know ICICI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ICICI Bank listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | Earnings Share 1.6 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.03 | Return On Assets |
The market value of ICICI Bank Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ICICI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ICICI Bank's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ICICI Bank's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ICICI Bank's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ICICI Bank's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ICICI Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ICICI Bank is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ICICI Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.