Icici Bank Limited Stock Price Prediction
| IBN Stock | USD 29.20 0.05 0.17% |
Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.525 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.7799 | Wall Street Target Price 39.125 |
Using ICICI Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ICICI Bank Limited from the perspective of ICICI Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ICICI Bank using ICICI Bank's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ICICI using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ICICI Bank's stock price.
ICICI Bank Short Interest
An investor who is long ICICI Bank may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about ICICI Bank and may potentially protect profits, hedge ICICI Bank with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 32.0367 | Short Percent 0.0182 | Short Ratio 5.74 | Shares Short Prior Month 25 M | 50 Day MA 30.4482 |
ICICI Bank Limited Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to ICICI Bank's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ICICI. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ICICI can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ICICI Bank Limited. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of ICICI Bank's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about ICICI Bank.
ICICI Bank Implied Volatility | 0.4 |
ICICI Bank's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ICICI Bank Limited stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ICICI Bank's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ICICI Bank stock will not fluctuate a lot when ICICI Bank's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ICICI Bank to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ICICI because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
ICICI Bank after-hype prediction price | USD 29.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current ICICI contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that ICICI Bank Limited will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.025% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With ICICI Bank trading at USD 29.2, that is roughly USD 0.0073 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating ICICI Bank's daily price movement you should consider acquiring ICICI Bank Limited options at the current volatility level of 0.4%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out ICICI Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. ICICI Bank After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ICICI Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ICICI Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ICICI Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ICICI Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ICICI Bank's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ICICI Bank's historical news coverage. ICICI Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.08 and 30.18, respectively. We have considered ICICI Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ICICI Bank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ICICI Bank Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
ICICI Bank Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ICICI Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ICICI Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ICICI Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.04 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 11 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
29.20 | 29.13 | 0.07 |
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ICICI Bank Hype Timeline
On the 26th of January ICICI Bank Limited is traded for 29.20. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. ICICI is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 29.13. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.09%. The volatility of related hype on ICICI Bank is about 328.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.23. About 19.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of ICICI Bank was currently reported as 5.32. The company last dividend was issued on the 12th of August 2025. ICICI Bank Limited had 11:10 split on the 19th of June 2017. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out ICICI Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.ICICI Bank Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ICICI Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ICICI Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how ICICI Bank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ICICI Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MFG | Mizuho Financial Group | 0.09 | 7 per month | 1.15 | 0.23 | 2.99 | (2.03) | 7.66 | |
| UBS | UBS Group AG | 0.03 | 8 per month | 1.01 | 0.18 | 2.57 | (1.92) | 6.86 | |
| BBVA | Banco Bilbao Viscaya | 0.36 | 10 per month | 1.17 | 0.19 | 2.92 | (1.98) | 6.55 | |
| CB | Chubb | (0.85) | 10 per month | 0.67 | 0.1 | 2.32 | (1.87) | 5.16 | |
| BMO | Bank of Montreal | 2.03 | 10 per month | 0.95 | 0.07 | 1.86 | (1.68) | 4.05 | |
| LYG | Lloyds Banking Group | 0.01 | 7 per month | 1.05 | 0.19 | 2.41 | (2.11) | 6.27 | |
| HDB | HDFC Bank Limited | 0.46 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.27 | (1.94) | 8.44 | |
| USB | US Bancorp | (0.45) | 6 per month | 0.82 | 0.16 | 2.52 | (1.35) | 6.01 | |
| PNC | PNC Financial Services | 1.17 | 7 per month | 0.60 | 0.18 | 2.38 | (1.53) | 5.33 |
ICICI Bank Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ICICI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ICICI using various technical indicators. When you analyze ICICI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About ICICI Bank Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of ICICI Bank stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ICICI Bank Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ICICI Bank based on analysis of ICICI Bank hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ICICI Bank's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ICICI Bank's related companies. | 2023 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.007269 | 0.006701 | 0.00968 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.27 | 3.69 | 4.3 |
Pair Trading with ICICI Bank
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if ICICI Bank position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ICICI Bank will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against ICICI Stock
| 0.55 | WF | Woori Financial Group | PairCorr |
| 0.54 | BMA | Banco Macro SA Normal Trading | PairCorr |
| 0.53 | BNS | Bank of Nova Scotia | PairCorr |
| 0.51 | CM | Canadian Imperial Bank | PairCorr |
| 0.49 | HSBC | HSBC Holdings PLC | PairCorr |
| 0.48 | RY | Royal Bank | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to ICICI Bank could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace ICICI Bank when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back ICICI Bank - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling ICICI Bank Limited to buy it.
The correlation of ICICI Bank is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as ICICI Bank moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if ICICI Bank Limited moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for ICICI Bank can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out ICICI Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Diversified Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ICICI Bank. If investors know ICICI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ICICI Bank listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | Earnings Share 1.6 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.03 | Return On Assets |
The market value of ICICI Bank Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ICICI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ICICI Bank's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ICICI Bank's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ICICI Bank's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ICICI Bank's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ICICI Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ICICI Bank is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ICICI Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.