International Bancshares Stock Forward View
| IBOC Stock | USD 71.89 2.25 3.23% |
International Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast International Bancshares stock prices and determine the direction of International Bancshares's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of International Bancshares' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of International Bancshares' share price is at 56. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling International Bancshares, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.088 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.54 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.74 | Wall Street Target Price 85 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.064 |
Using International Bancshares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of International Bancshares from the perspective of International Bancshares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards International Bancshares using International Bancshares' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards International using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of International Bancshares' stock price.
International Bancshares Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in International Bancshares' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards International. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of International Bancshares stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 66.5733 | Short Percent 0.0329 | Short Ratio 4.95 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.1 M | 50 Day MA 67.7778 |
International Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of International Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 70.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.90.International Bancshares Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to International Bancshares' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in International. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding International can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around International Bancshares. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of International Bancshares' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about International Bancshares.
International Bancshares Implied Volatility | 0.65 |
International Bancshares' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of International Bancshares stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if International Bancshares' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that International Bancshares stock will not fluctuate a lot when International Bancshares' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of International Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 70.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.90. International Bancshares after-hype prediction price | USD 71.89 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
International | Build AI portfolio with International Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current International contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that International Bancshares will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0406% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With International Bancshares trading at USD 71.89, that is roughly USD 0.0292 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating International Bancshares' daily price movement you should consider acquiring International Bancshares options at the current volatility level of 0.65%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 International Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast International Bancshares' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in International Bancshares' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for International Bancshares stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current International Bancshares' open interest, investors have to compare it to International Bancshares' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of International Bancshares is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in International. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
International Bancshares Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine International price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for International using various technical indicators. When you analyze International charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
International Bancshares Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the International Bancshares' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1996-03-31 | Previous Quarter 731.9 M | Current Value 589.3 M | Quarterly Volatility 698.3 M |
International Bancshares Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of International Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 70.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.10, mean absolute percentage error of 1.70, and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.90.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict International Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that International Bancshares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
International Bancshares Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest International Bancshares | International Bancshares Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
International Bancshares Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting International Bancshares' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. International Bancshares' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 68.64 and 72.06, respectively. We have considered International Bancshares' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of International Bancshares stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent International Bancshares stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.6439 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0967 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0159 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 66.8987 |
Predictive Modules for International Bancshares
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as International Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.International Bancshares After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of International Bancshares at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in International Bancshares or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of International Bancshares, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
International Bancshares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting International Bancshares' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on International Bancshares' historical news coverage. International Bancshares' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 70.19 and 73.59, respectively. We have considered International Bancshares' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
International Bancshares is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of International Bancshares is based on 3 months time horizon.
International Bancshares Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as International Bancshares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading International Bancshares backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with International Bancshares, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.71 | 0.11 | 0.04 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
71.89 | 71.89 | 0.00 |
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International Bancshares Hype Timeline
International Bancshares is currently traded for 71.89. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. International is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 135.71%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on International Bancshares is about 386.88%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 71.85. About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.38. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. International Bancshares recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.76. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of August 2025. The firm had 11:10 split on the 17th of May 2007. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of International Bancshares to cross-verify your projections.International Bancshares Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to International Bancshares' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict International Bancshares' future price movements. Getting to know how International Bancshares' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how International Bancshares may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WBS | Webster Financial | (1.91) | 9 per month | 1.06 | 0.14 | 2.80 | (1.77) | 7.21 | |
| AX | Axos Financial | 0.64 | 8 per month | 1.43 | 0.16 | 3.29 | (2.60) | 8.23 | |
| CADE | Cadence Bancorp | (0.56) | 7 per month | 1.49 | 0.08 | 3.30 | (2.25) | 10.36 | |
| FFIN | First Financial Bankshares | (0.65) | 9 per month | 1.27 | 0.01 | 2.50 | (2.14) | 7.40 | |
| TCBI | Texas Capital Bancshares | 0.96 | 9 per month | 1.31 | 0.16 | 2.92 | (1.82) | 10.21 | |
| INTR | Inter Co Class | (0.89) | 7 per month | 3.04 | 0 | 4.73 | (3.98) | 14.58 | |
| SFBS | ServisFirst Bancshares | (4.13) | 6 per month | 1.43 | 0.1 | 3.57 | (2.47) | 20.01 | |
| HWC | Hancock Whitney Corp | (0.06) | 10 per month | 0.79 | 0.20 | 2.85 | (1.12) | 7.32 | |
| ASB | Associated Banc Corp | (0.07) | 6 per month | 1.17 | 0.08 | 3.31 | (1.59) | 8.15 | |
| MTB | MT Bank | 2.25 | 9 per month | 0.61 | 0.24 | 2.65 | (1.19) | 5.19 |
Other Forecasting Options for International Bancshares
For every potential investor in International, whether a beginner or expert, International Bancshares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. International Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in International. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying International Bancshares' price trends.International Bancshares Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with International Bancshares stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of International Bancshares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing International Bancshares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
International Bancshares Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how International Bancshares stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading International Bancshares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying International Bancshares stock market strength indicators, traders can identify International Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
International Bancshares Risk Indicators
The analysis of International Bancshares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in International Bancshares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting international stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Variance | 2.82 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.34 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.09 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.43) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for International Bancshares
The number of cover stories for International Bancshares depends on current market conditions and International Bancshares' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that International Bancshares is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about International Bancshares' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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International Bancshares Short Properties
International Bancshares' future price predictability will typically decrease when International Bancshares' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of International Bancshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential International Bancshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. International Bancshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 62.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.3 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of International Bancshares to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade International Stock refer to our How to Trade International Stock guide.You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could International diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of International Bancshares. Market participants price International higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every International Bancshares data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.088 | Dividend Share 1.4 | Earnings Share 6.76 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.064 |
Investors evaluate International Bancshares using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating International Bancshares' intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause International Bancshares' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between International Bancshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if International Bancshares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, International Bancshares' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.