Intercontinental Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| IC2 Stock | EUR 148.02 0.42 0.28% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Intercontinental Exchange on the next trading day is expected to be 148.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 80.82. Intercontinental Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Intercontinental's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the value of rsi of Intercontinental's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Intercontinental hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Intercontinental Exchange from the perspective of Intercontinental response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Intercontinental Exchange on the next trading day is expected to be 148.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 80.82. Intercontinental after-hype prediction price | EUR 148.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Intercontinental |
Intercontinental Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Intercontinental price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Intercontinental using various technical indicators. When you analyze Intercontinental charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Intercontinental Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Intercontinental Exchange on the next trading day is expected to be 148.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.32, mean absolute percentage error of 3.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 80.82.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Intercontinental Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Intercontinental's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Intercontinental Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Intercontinental | Intercontinental Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Intercontinental Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Intercontinental's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Intercontinental's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 146.72 and 149.32, respectively. We have considered Intercontinental's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Intercontinental stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Intercontinental stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.2299 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2167 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.3249 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0097 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 80.82 |
Predictive Modules for Intercontinental
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intercontinental Exchange. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Intercontinental After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Intercontinental at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Intercontinental or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Intercontinental, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Intercontinental Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Intercontinental's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Intercontinental's historical news coverage. Intercontinental's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 146.72 and 149.32, respectively. We have considered Intercontinental's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Intercontinental is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Intercontinental Exchange is based on 3 months time horizon.
Intercontinental Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Intercontinental is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Intercontinental backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Intercontinental, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
148.02 | 148.02 | 0.00 |
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Intercontinental Hype Timeline
Intercontinental Exchange is currently traded for 148.02on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Intercontinental is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on Intercontinental is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 148.02. About 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Intercontinental was currently reported as 40.62. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.35. Intercontinental Exchange last dividend was issued on the 16th of March 2023. The entity had 5:1 split on the 4th of November 2016. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Intercontinental to cross-verify your projections.Intercontinental Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Intercontinental's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Intercontinental's future price movements. Getting to know how Intercontinental's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Intercontinental may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 8MN | LINMON MEDIA LTD | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.26 | (5.00) | 20.93 | |
| ALG | ALBIS LEASING AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.62) | 0.00 | (0.67) | 2.01 | |
| UOF | Urban Outfitters | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.91 | 0.01 | 4.15 | (4.50) | 41.41 | |
| 2H4 | Hollywood Bowl Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.67 | (0.05) | 3.18 | (3.12) | 9.45 | |
| 37H | Global Ship Lease | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.33 | 0.14 | 3.56 | (2.54) | 13.09 | |
| 9DB | Dave Busters Entertainment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.18 | 0.03 | 7.96 | (5.56) | 21.38 | |
| GLJ | GRENKELEASING | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.68 | (2.35) | 9.52 |
Other Forecasting Options for Intercontinental
For every potential investor in Intercontinental, whether a beginner or expert, Intercontinental's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Intercontinental Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Intercontinental. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Intercontinental's price trends.Intercontinental Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Intercontinental stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Intercontinental could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Intercontinental by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Intercontinental Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Intercontinental stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Intercontinental shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Intercontinental stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Intercontinental Exchange entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Intercontinental Risk Indicators
The analysis of Intercontinental's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Intercontinental's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting intercontinental stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9317 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.05 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Variance | 1.57 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.5 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.11 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.02) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Intercontinental
The number of cover stories for Intercontinental depends on current market conditions and Intercontinental's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Intercontinental is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Intercontinental's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Intercontinental Stock
When determining whether Intercontinental Exchange is a strong investment it is important to analyze Intercontinental's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Intercontinental's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Intercontinental Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Intercontinental to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.