Industrial Pink Sheet Forward View

IDCBY Stock  USD 16.68  0.16  0.97%   
Industrial Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Industrial's share price is at 59. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Industrial, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 59

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Industrial's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Industrial and Commercial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Industrial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Industrial and Commercial from the perspective of Industrial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Industrial and Commercial on the next trading day is expected to be 17.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.85.

Industrial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 16.68  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Industrial to cross-verify your projections.

Industrial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Industrial price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Industrial using various technical indicators. When you analyze Industrial charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Industrial is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Industrial and Commercial value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Industrial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Industrial and Commercial on the next trading day is expected to be 17.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.85.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Industrial Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Industrial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Industrial Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Industrial  Industrial Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Industrial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Industrial's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Industrial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.81 and 18.25, respectively. We have considered Industrial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.68
17.03
Expected Value
18.25
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Industrial pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Industrial pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.894
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1615
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0101
SAESum of the absolute errors9.8506
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Industrial and Commercial. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Industrial. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Industrial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Industrial and Commercial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.4616.6817.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.0119.3620.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
15.4316.0916.76
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Industrial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Industrial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Industrial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Industrial and Commercial.

Industrial After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Industrial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Industrial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Industrial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Industrial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Industrial's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Industrial's historical news coverage. Industrial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.46 and 17.90, respectively. We have considered Industrial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
16.68
16.68
After-hype Price
17.90
Upside
Industrial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Industrial and Commercial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Industrial Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Industrial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Industrial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Industrial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
1.22
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
16.68
16.68
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Industrial Hype Timeline

Industrial and Commercial is currently traded for 16.68. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Industrial is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Industrial is about 5422.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.68. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.37. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Industrial and Commercial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.59. The entity last dividend was issued on the 1st of July 2022. The firm had 5:2 split on the 30th of December 2010. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Industrial to cross-verify your projections.

Industrial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Industrial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Industrial's future price movements. Getting to know how Industrial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Industrial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BACHYBank of China 0.85 4 per month 1.01  0.07  1.88 (1.45) 5.91 
CICHFChina Construction Bank(0.31)3 per month 0.00 (0.02) 5.21 (5.88) 19.50 
BML-PJBank of America(0.41)19 per month 0.64 (0.05) 0.91 (1.00) 1.95 
ANZGYANZ Group Holdings 0.00 0 per month 1.29  0.06  1.90 (1.93) 7.31 
ACGBYAgricultural Bank of 1.95 2 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.02 (3.10) 6.48 
CICHYChina Construction Bank 0.00 0 per month 1.21 (0.0002) 1.63 (1.81) 7.50 
BML-PGBank of America 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 0.85 (0.84) 3.17 
BACHFBank of China 0.40 18 per month 3.31  0.02  7.27 (6.90) 20.39 
BML-PHBank of America 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 0.82 (0.92) 1.85 
ACGBFAgricultural Bank(0.31)6 per month 0.00 (0.05) 2.90 (2.70) 21.45 
MBFJFMitsubishi UFJ Financial 0.40 15 per month 2.97  0.08  5.35 (4.61) 15.91 
IDCBFIndustrial and Commercial(0.31)11 per month 1.28  0.02  3.90 (3.66) 13.68 
CMWAYCommonwealth Bank of(0.20)15 per month 0.00 (0.10) 2.44 (2.75) 9.30 
WFC-PYWells Fargo(2.01)15 per month 0.00 (0.21) 0.45 (0.61) 1.24 
BML-PLBank of America 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 0.81 (0.85) 2.15 
BAC-PEBank of America(0.41)19 per month 0.00 (0.15) 0.87 (1.51) 2.90 

Other Forecasting Options for Industrial

For every potential investor in Industrial, whether a beginner or expert, Industrial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Industrial Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Industrial. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Industrial's price trends.

View Industrial Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Industrial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Industrial pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Industrial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Industrial pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Industrial and Commercial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Industrial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Industrial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Industrial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting industrial pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Industrial

The number of cover stories for Industrial depends on current market conditions and Industrial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Industrial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Industrial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Industrial Short Properties

Industrial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Industrial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Industrial and Commercial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Industrial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Industrial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18.3 B
Cash And Short Term Investments4.2 T

Additional Tools for Industrial Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Industrial's price analysis, check to measure Industrial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Industrial is operating at the current time. Most of Industrial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Industrial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Industrial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Industrial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.