Industrial Commercial Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

IDCBY Stock  USD 15.70  0.04  0.26%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Industrial Commercial Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 15.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.37. Industrial Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Industrial Commercial's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Industrial Commercial's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Industrial Commercial Bank, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Industrial Commercial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Industrial Commercial Bank from the perspective of Industrial Commercial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Industrial Commercial Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 15.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.37.

Industrial Commercial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 15.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Industrial Commercial to cross-verify your projections.

Industrial Commercial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Industrial price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Industrial using various technical indicators. When you analyze Industrial charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Industrial Commercial is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Industrial Commercial Bank value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Industrial Commercial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Industrial Commercial Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 15.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.37.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Industrial Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Industrial Commercial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Industrial Commercial Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Industrial CommercialIndustrial Commercial Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Industrial Commercial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Industrial Commercial's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Industrial Commercial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.34 and 16.62, respectively. We have considered Industrial Commercial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.70
15.48
Expected Value
16.62
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Industrial Commercial pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Industrial Commercial pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.7673
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1537
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0098
SAESum of the absolute errors9.3745
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Industrial Commercial Bank. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Industrial Commercial. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Industrial Commercial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Industrial Commercial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.5615.7016.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.1318.4019.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
15.3515.9016.45
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Industrial Commercial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Industrial Commercial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Industrial Commercial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Industrial Commercial.

Other Forecasting Options for Industrial Commercial

For every potential investor in Industrial, whether a beginner or expert, Industrial Commercial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Industrial Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Industrial. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Industrial Commercial's price trends.

View Industrial Commercial Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Industrial Commercial Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Industrial Commercial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Industrial Commercial's current price.

Industrial Commercial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Industrial Commercial pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Industrial Commercial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Industrial Commercial pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Industrial Commercial Bank entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Industrial Commercial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Industrial Commercial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Industrial Commercial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting industrial pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Industrial Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Industrial Commercial's price analysis, check to measure Industrial Commercial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Industrial Commercial is operating at the current time. Most of Industrial Commercial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Industrial Commercial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Industrial Commercial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Industrial Commercial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.