InterDigital Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| IDCC Stock | USD 330.93 0.99 0.30% |
InterDigital Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast InterDigital stock prices and determine the direction of InterDigital's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of InterDigital's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of InterDigital's share price is approaching 48. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling InterDigital, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.693 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.09 | EPS Estimate Current Year 15.0633 | EPS Estimate Next Year 10.1367 | Wall Street Target Price 462.6667 |
Using InterDigital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of InterDigital from the perspective of InterDigital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards InterDigital using InterDigital's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards InterDigital using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of InterDigital's stock price.
InterDigital Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in InterDigital's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards InterDigital. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of InterDigital stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 285.9497 | Short Percent 0.1776 | Short Ratio 11.62 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.1 M | 50 Day MA 334.4726 |
InterDigital Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of InterDigital on the next trading day is expected to be 330.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 409.52.InterDigital Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to InterDigital's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in InterDigital. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding InterDigital can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around InterDigital. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of InterDigital's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about InterDigital.
InterDigital Implied Volatility | 0.68 |
InterDigital's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of InterDigital stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if InterDigital's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that InterDigital stock will not fluctuate a lot when InterDigital's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of InterDigital on the next trading day is expected to be 330.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 409.52. InterDigital after-hype prediction price | USD 330.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
InterDigital | Build AI portfolio with InterDigital Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current InterDigital contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that InterDigital will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0425% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With InterDigital trading at USD 330.93, that is roughly USD 0.14 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating InterDigital's daily price movement you should consider acquiring InterDigital options at the current volatility level of 0.68%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 InterDigital Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast InterDigital's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in InterDigital's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for InterDigital stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current InterDigital's open interest, investors have to compare it to InterDigital's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of InterDigital is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in InterDigital. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
InterDigital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine InterDigital price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for InterDigital using various technical indicators. When you analyze InterDigital charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
InterDigital Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of InterDigital on the next trading day is expected to be 330.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.83, mean absolute percentage error of 83.92, and the sum of the absolute errors of 409.52.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict InterDigital Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that InterDigital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
InterDigital Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest InterDigital | InterDigital Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
InterDigital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting InterDigital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. InterDigital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 328.56 and 333.30, respectively. We have considered InterDigital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of InterDigital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent InterDigital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.7025 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 1.3307 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 6.8253 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0202 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 409.52 |
Predictive Modules for InterDigital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as InterDigital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of InterDigital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
InterDigital After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of InterDigital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in InterDigital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of InterDigital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
InterDigital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting InterDigital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on InterDigital's historical news coverage. InterDigital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 328.26 and 333.60, respectively. We have considered InterDigital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
InterDigital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of InterDigital is based on 3 months time horizon.
InterDigital Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as InterDigital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading InterDigital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with InterDigital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 2.37 | 0.53 | 0.07 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
330.93 | 330.93 | 0.00 |
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InterDigital Hype Timeline
InterDigital is currently traded for 330.93. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.53, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. InterDigital is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 119.7%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.27%. %. The volatility of related hype on InterDigital is about 975.31%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 330.86. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.45. InterDigital recorded earning per share (EPS) of 14.9. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of January 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of InterDigital to cross-verify your projections.InterDigital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to InterDigital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict InterDigital's future price movements. Getting to know how InterDigital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how InterDigital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PAYC | Paycom Software | (2.59) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 2.32 | (3.80) | 11.72 | |
| OTEX | Open Text Corp | 0.24 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.38) | 1.45 | (3.91) | 7.58 | |
| PEGA | Pegasystems | (3.19) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 4.17 | (5.59) | 11.55 | |
| APPF | Appfolio | 0.32 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.09 | (3.82) | 12.22 | |
| MANH | Manhattan Associates | 1.90 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.51 | (4.10) | 8.34 | |
| AKAM | Akamai Technologies | (2.48) | 12 per month | 1.67 | 0.15 | 4.04 | (3.43) | 18.87 | |
| GTM | ZoomInfo Technologies | 1.98 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.11 | (5.51) | 16.16 | |
| ESTC | Elastic NV | (0.42) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.82 | (3.82) | 18.64 | |
| MNDY | MondayCom | 1.98 | 31 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 3.19 | (6.35) | 17.07 | |
| NICE | Nice Ltd ADR | (0.17) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.22 | (3.81) | 18.80 |
Other Forecasting Options for InterDigital
For every potential investor in InterDigital, whether a beginner or expert, InterDigital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. InterDigital Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in InterDigital. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying InterDigital's price trends.InterDigital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with InterDigital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of InterDigital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing InterDigital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
InterDigital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how InterDigital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading InterDigital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying InterDigital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify InterDigital entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
InterDigital Risk Indicators
The analysis of InterDigital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in InterDigital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting interdigital stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.97 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.88 | |||
| Variance | 8.3 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for InterDigital
The number of cover stories for InterDigital depends on current market conditions and InterDigital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that InterDigital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about InterDigital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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InterDigital Short Properties
InterDigital's future price predictability will typically decrease when InterDigital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of InterDigital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential InterDigital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. InterDigital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 958.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of InterDigital to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade InterDigital Stock refer to our How to Trade InterDigital Stock guide.You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Will Communications Equipment sector continue expanding? Could InterDigital diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of InterDigital. Market participants price InterDigital higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every InterDigital data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.693 | Dividend Share 2.35 | Earnings Share 14.9 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.28 |
Understanding InterDigital requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects InterDigital's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what InterDigital's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push InterDigital's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between InterDigital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if InterDigital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, InterDigital's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.