Intellicheck Mobilisa Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| IDN Stock | USD 5.24 0.29 5.24% |
Intellicheck Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Intellicheck Mobilisa's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Intellicheck Mobilisa's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Intellicheck Mobilisa fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Intellicheck Mobilisa's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.55) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.04 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.06 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.09 | Wall Street Target Price 8 |
Using Intellicheck Mobilisa hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Intellicheck Mobilisa from the perspective of Intellicheck Mobilisa response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Intellicheck Mobilisa using Intellicheck Mobilisa's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Intellicheck using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Intellicheck Mobilisa's stock price.
Intellicheck Mobilisa Short Interest
An investor who is long Intellicheck Mobilisa may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Intellicheck Mobilisa and may potentially protect profits, hedge Intellicheck Mobilisa with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 5.2072 | Short Percent 0.0114 | Short Ratio 1.59 | Shares Short Prior Month 216.5 K | 50 Day MA 6.3054 |
Intellicheck Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Intellicheck Mobilisa on the next trading day is expected to be 5.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.74.Intellicheck Mobilisa Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Intellicheck Mobilisa's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Intellicheck. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Intellicheck can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Intellicheck Mobilisa. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Intellicheck Mobilisa's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Intellicheck Mobilisa.
Intellicheck Mobilisa Implied Volatility | 1.07 |
Intellicheck Mobilisa's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Intellicheck Mobilisa stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Intellicheck Mobilisa's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Intellicheck Mobilisa stock will not fluctuate a lot when Intellicheck Mobilisa's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Intellicheck Mobilisa on the next trading day is expected to be 5.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.74. Intellicheck Mobilisa after-hype prediction price | USD 5.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Intellicheck contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Intellicheck Mobilisa will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0669% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Intellicheck Mobilisa trading at USD 5.24, that is roughly USD 0.003504 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Intellicheck Mobilisa's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Intellicheck Mobilisa options at the current volatility level of 1.07%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Intellicheck Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Intellicheck Mobilisa's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Intellicheck Mobilisa's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Intellicheck Mobilisa stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Intellicheck Mobilisa's open interest, investors have to compare it to Intellicheck Mobilisa's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Intellicheck Mobilisa is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Intellicheck. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Intellicheck Mobilisa Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Intellicheck price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Intellicheck using various technical indicators. When you analyze Intellicheck charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Intellicheck Mobilisa Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Intellicheck Mobilisa on the next trading day is expected to be 5.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.74.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Intellicheck Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Intellicheck Mobilisa's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Intellicheck Mobilisa Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Intellicheck Mobilisa | Intellicheck Mobilisa Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Intellicheck Mobilisa Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Intellicheck Mobilisa's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Intellicheck Mobilisa's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.05 and 11.28, respectively. We have considered Intellicheck Mobilisa's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Intellicheck Mobilisa stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Intellicheck Mobilisa stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.2174 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.025 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1991 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0321 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.745 |
Predictive Modules for Intellicheck Mobilisa
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intellicheck Mobilisa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intellicheck Mobilisa's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intellicheck Mobilisa After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Intellicheck Mobilisa at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Intellicheck Mobilisa or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Intellicheck Mobilisa, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Intellicheck Mobilisa Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Intellicheck Mobilisa's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Intellicheck Mobilisa's historical news coverage. Intellicheck Mobilisa's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.26 and 11.27, respectively. We have considered Intellicheck Mobilisa's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Intellicheck Mobilisa is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Intellicheck Mobilisa is based on 3 months time horizon.
Intellicheck Mobilisa Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Intellicheck Mobilisa is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Intellicheck Mobilisa backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Intellicheck Mobilisa, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.48 | 6.04 | 0.01 | 3.72 | 12 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.24 | 5.23 | 0.19 |
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Intellicheck Mobilisa Hype Timeline
On the 5th of February Intellicheck Mobilisa is traded for 5.24. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 3.72. Intellicheck is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 5.23. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.19%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.48%. The volatility of related hype on Intellicheck Mobilisa is about 77.98%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.96. About 46.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Intellicheck Mobilisa had 1:8 split on the 13th of August 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Intellicheck Mobilisa to cross-verify your projections.Intellicheck Mobilisa Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Intellicheck Mobilisa's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Intellicheck Mobilisa's future price movements. Getting to know how Intellicheck Mobilisa's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Intellicheck Mobilisa may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PSQH | PSQ Holdings | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.37) | 5.36 | (8.53) | 19.40 | |
| RCT | RedCloud Holdings plc | 0.04 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 8.33 | (10.31) | 21.32 | |
| API | Agora Inc | 0.13 | 11 per month | 2.48 | 0.08 | 4.88 | (4.71) | 15.98 | |
| RSSS | Research Solutions | 0.02 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.46 | (5.63) | 20.31 | |
| ATHR | Aether Holdings | 0.05 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 7.88 | (6.94) | 25.31 | |
| ONMD | OneMedNet Corp | 0.05 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 13.71 | (16.51) | 53.01 | |
| LINK | Interlink Electronics | (0.09) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 7.09 | (9.58) | 23.00 | |
| TCGL | TechCreate Group | 77.44 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 8.96 | (3.47) | 32.11 | |
| QH | Quhuo | (0.09) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 21.00 | (13.49) | 65.89 | |
| INVE | Identiv | (0.08) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.62 | (5.38) | 15.58 |
Other Forecasting Options for Intellicheck Mobilisa
For every potential investor in Intellicheck, whether a beginner or expert, Intellicheck Mobilisa's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Intellicheck Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Intellicheck. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Intellicheck Mobilisa's price trends.Intellicheck Mobilisa Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Intellicheck Mobilisa stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Intellicheck Mobilisa could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Intellicheck Mobilisa by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Intellicheck Mobilisa Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Intellicheck Mobilisa stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Intellicheck Mobilisa shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Intellicheck Mobilisa stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Intellicheck Mobilisa entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Intellicheck Mobilisa Risk Indicators
The analysis of Intellicheck Mobilisa's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Intellicheck Mobilisa's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting intellicheck stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.16 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.14 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.87 | |||
| Variance | 34.48 | |||
| Downside Variance | 12.44 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.89 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.71) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Intellicheck Mobilisa
The number of cover stories for Intellicheck Mobilisa depends on current market conditions and Intellicheck Mobilisa's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Intellicheck Mobilisa is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Intellicheck Mobilisa's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Intellicheck Mobilisa Short Properties
Intellicheck Mobilisa's future price predictability will typically decrease when Intellicheck Mobilisa's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Intellicheck Mobilisa often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Intellicheck Mobilisa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intellicheck Mobilisa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Intellicheck Mobilisa to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Intellicheck Stock, please use our How to Invest in Intellicheck Mobilisa guide.You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Will Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector continue expanding? Could Intellicheck diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Intellicheck Mobilisa. Market participants price Intellicheck higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Intellicheck Mobilisa data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.55) | Earnings Share 0.01 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.277 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Intellicheck Mobilisa requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Intellicheck's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Intellicheck Mobilisa's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Intellicheck Mobilisa's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Intellicheck Mobilisa's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Intellicheck Mobilisa is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Intellicheck Mobilisa's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.