Interconnection Electric OTC Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

IESFY Stock  USD 164.20  6.72  4.27%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Interconnection Electric SA on the next trading day is expected to be 166.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 298.69. Interconnection OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Interconnection Electric - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Interconnection Electric prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Interconnection Electric price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Interconnection Electric.

Interconnection Electric Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Interconnection Electric SA on the next trading day is expected to be 166.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.06, mean absolute percentage error of 68.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 298.69.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Interconnection OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Interconnection Electric's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Interconnection Electric OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Interconnection Electric Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Interconnection Electric's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Interconnection Electric's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 162.20 and 171.62, respectively. We have considered Interconnection Electric's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
164.20
162.20
Downside
166.91
Expected Value
171.62
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Interconnection Electric otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Interconnection Electric otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 2.3853
MADMean absolute deviation5.0625
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0322
SAESum of the absolute errors298.69
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Interconnection Electric observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Interconnection Electric SA observations.

Predictive Modules for Interconnection Electric

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Interconnection Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
159.52164.20168.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
131.83136.51180.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
134.98157.47179.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Interconnection Electric. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Interconnection Electric's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Interconnection Electric's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Interconnection Electric.

Other Forecasting Options for Interconnection Electric

For every potential investor in Interconnection, whether a beginner or expert, Interconnection Electric's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Interconnection OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Interconnection. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Interconnection Electric's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Interconnection Electric Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Interconnection Electric's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Interconnection Electric's current price.

Interconnection Electric Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Interconnection Electric otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Interconnection Electric shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Interconnection Electric otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Interconnection Electric SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Interconnection Electric Risk Indicators

The analysis of Interconnection Electric's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Interconnection Electric's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting interconnection otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Interconnection OTC Stock Analysis

When running Interconnection Electric's price analysis, check to measure Interconnection Electric's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Interconnection Electric is operating at the current time. Most of Interconnection Electric's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Interconnection Electric's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Interconnection Electric's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Interconnection Electric to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.