Interconnection Electric OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

IESFY Stock  USD 157.48  6.72  4.09%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Interconnection Electric SA on the next trading day is expected to be 151.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.93 and the sum of the absolute errors of 361.77. Interconnection OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Interconnection Electric is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Interconnection Electric SA value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Interconnection Electric Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Interconnection Electric SA on the next trading day is expected to be 151.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.93, mean absolute percentage error of 53.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 361.77.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Interconnection OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Interconnection Electric's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Interconnection Electric OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Interconnection Electric Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Interconnection Electric's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Interconnection Electric's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 146.72 and 156.22, respectively. We have considered Interconnection Electric's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
157.48
146.72
Downside
151.47
Expected Value
156.22
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Interconnection Electric otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Interconnection Electric otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.0854
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation5.9307
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0372
SAESum of the absolute errors361.7739
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Interconnection Electric SA. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Interconnection Electric. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Interconnection Electric

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Interconnection Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
152.76157.48162.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
128.97133.69173.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
134.32156.99179.66
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Interconnection Electric. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Interconnection Electric's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Interconnection Electric's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Interconnection Electric.

Other Forecasting Options for Interconnection Electric

For every potential investor in Interconnection, whether a beginner or expert, Interconnection Electric's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Interconnection OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Interconnection. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Interconnection Electric's price trends.

Interconnection Electric Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Interconnection Electric otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Interconnection Electric could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Interconnection Electric by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Interconnection Electric Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Interconnection Electric's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Interconnection Electric's current price.

Interconnection Electric Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Interconnection Electric otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Interconnection Electric shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Interconnection Electric otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Interconnection Electric SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Interconnection Electric Risk Indicators

The analysis of Interconnection Electric's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Interconnection Electric's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting interconnection otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Interconnection OTC Stock Analysis

When running Interconnection Electric's price analysis, check to measure Interconnection Electric's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Interconnection Electric is operating at the current time. Most of Interconnection Electric's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Interconnection Electric's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Interconnection Electric's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Interconnection Electric to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.