INFICON Holding Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

IFCNF Stock  USD 874.80  385.20  30.57%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of INFICON Holding AG on the next trading day is expected to be 874.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 14.96 and the sum of the absolute errors of 882.83. INFICON Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of INFICON Holding's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for INFICON Holding is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

INFICON Holding Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of INFICON Holding AG on the next trading day is expected to be 874.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 14.96, mean absolute percentage error of 4,020, and the sum of the absolute errors of 882.83.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict INFICON Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that INFICON Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

INFICON Holding Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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INFICON Holding Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting INFICON Holding's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. INFICON Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 870.25 and 879.35, respectively. We have considered INFICON Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
874.80
870.25
Downside
874.80
Expected Value
879.35
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of INFICON Holding pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent INFICON Holding pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.7337
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 4.6233
MADMean absolute deviation14.9631
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0153
SAESum of the absolute errors882.825
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of INFICON Holding AG price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of INFICON Holding. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for INFICON Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as INFICON Holding AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
870.25874.80879.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
787.32971.10975.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
935.391,2051,475
Details

Other Forecasting Options for INFICON Holding

For every potential investor in INFICON, whether a beginner or expert, INFICON Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. INFICON Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in INFICON. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying INFICON Holding's price trends.

INFICON Holding Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with INFICON Holding pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of INFICON Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing INFICON Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

INFICON Holding AG Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of INFICON Holding's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of INFICON Holding's current price.

INFICON Holding Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how INFICON Holding pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading INFICON Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying INFICON Holding pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify INFICON Holding AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

INFICON Holding Risk Indicators

The analysis of INFICON Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in INFICON Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting inficon pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in INFICON Pink Sheet

INFICON Holding financial ratios help investors to determine whether INFICON Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in INFICON with respect to the benefits of owning INFICON Holding security.