Argosy Property Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

IGPYF Stock  USD 0.69  0.02  2.99%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Argosy Property Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.24. Argosy Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Argosy Property's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Argosy Property price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Argosy Property Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Argosy Property Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000028, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.24.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Argosy Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Argosy Property's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Argosy Property Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Argosy Property Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Argosy Property's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Argosy Property's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.31 and 1.05, respectively. We have considered Argosy Property's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.69
0.68
Expected Value
1.05
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Argosy Property pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Argosy Property pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.636
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.004
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0059
SAESum of the absolute errors0.2446
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Argosy Property Limited historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Argosy Property

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Argosy Property. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Argosy Property's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.320.691.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.210.580.95
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Argosy Property

For every potential investor in Argosy, whether a beginner or expert, Argosy Property's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Argosy Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Argosy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Argosy Property's price trends.

Argosy Property Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Argosy Property pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Argosy Property could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Argosy Property by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Argosy Property Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Argosy Property's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Argosy Property's current price.

Argosy Property Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Argosy Property pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Argosy Property shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Argosy Property pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Argosy Property Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Argosy Property Risk Indicators

The analysis of Argosy Property's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Argosy Property's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting argosy pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Argosy Pink Sheet

Argosy Property financial ratios help investors to determine whether Argosy Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Argosy with respect to the benefits of owning Argosy Property security.