Inspira Technologies Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| IINN Stock | USD 1.35 0.01 0.75% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Inspira Technologies Oxy on the next trading day is expected to be 1.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.56. Inspira Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Inspira Technologies' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Inspira Technologies' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Inspira Technologies fundamentals over time.
Inspira |
Inspira Technologies Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Inspira Technologies Oxy on the next trading day is expected to be 1.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.56.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Inspira Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Inspira Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Inspira Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern
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Inspira Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Inspira Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Inspira Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.18, respectively. We have considered Inspira Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Inspira Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Inspira Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0044 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0264 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0202 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.56 |
Predictive Modules for Inspira Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inspira Technologies Oxy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Inspira Technologies
For every potential investor in Inspira, whether a beginner or expert, Inspira Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Inspira Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Inspira. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Inspira Technologies' price trends.Inspira Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Inspira Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Inspira Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Inspira Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Inspira Technologies Oxy Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Inspira Technologies' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Inspira Technologies' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Inspira Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Inspira Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Inspira Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Inspira Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Inspira Technologies Oxy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1872.13 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.1667 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.36 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.36 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.01 |
Inspira Technologies Risk Indicators
The analysis of Inspira Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Inspira Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting inspira stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.1 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.08 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.85 | |||
| Variance | 8.1 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.68 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.34 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.81) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Inspira Technologies
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Inspira Technologies position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Inspira Technologies will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Inspira Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Inspira Technologies could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Inspira Technologies when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Inspira Technologies - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Inspira Technologies Oxy to buy it.
The correlation of Inspira Technologies is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Inspira Technologies moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Inspira Technologies Oxy moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Inspira Technologies can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Inspira Technologies to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Inspira Technologies. If investors know Inspira will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Inspira Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.78) | Return On Assets (0.60) | Return On Equity (1.17) |
The market value of Inspira Technologies Oxy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Inspira that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Inspira Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Inspira Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Inspira Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Inspira Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Inspira Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Inspira Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Inspira Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.