Inspira Technologies Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| IINN Stock | USD 0.83 0.05 6.41% |
Inspira Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Inspira Technologies' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Inspira Technologies' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Inspira Technologies fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Inspira Technologies' share price is approaching 40. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Inspira Technologies, making its price go up or down. Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (0.44) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.11 | Wall Street Target Price 5 |
Using Inspira Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Inspira Technologies Oxy from the perspective of Inspira Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Inspira Technologies Oxy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.48. Inspira Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 0.83 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Inspira Technologies to cross-verify your projections. Inspira Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Inspira price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Inspira using various technical indicators. When you analyze Inspira charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Inspira Technologies Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Inspira Technologies' financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2018-03-31 | Previous Quarter 2.1 M | Current Value 2.1 M | Quarterly Volatility 6.7 M |
Inspira Technologies Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Inspira Technologies Oxy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.48.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Inspira Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Inspira Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Inspira Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Inspira Technologies | Inspira Technologies Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Inspira Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Inspira Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Inspira Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.18, respectively. We have considered Inspira Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Inspira Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Inspira Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.121 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0406 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0413 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.4767 |
Predictive Modules for Inspira Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inspira Technologies Oxy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Inspira Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Inspira Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Inspira Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Inspira Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Inspira Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Inspira Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Inspira Technologies' historical news coverage. Inspira Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 5.21, respectively. We have considered Inspira Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Inspira Technologies is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Inspira Technologies Oxy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Inspira Technologies Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Inspira Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Inspira Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Inspira Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 4.38 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.83 | 0.83 | 0.00 |
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Inspira Technologies Hype Timeline
Inspira Technologies Oxy is currently traded for 0.83. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Inspira is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on Inspira Technologies is about 62571.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.83. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.48. Inspira Technologies Oxy had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Inspira Technologies to cross-verify your projections.Inspira Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Inspira Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Inspira Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Inspira Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Inspira Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NXL | Nexalin Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 7.92 | (8.70) | 27.45 | |
| PTHS | Pelthos Therapeutics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 8.39 | (8.07) | 25.75 | |
| NXGL | Nexgel Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 12.42 | (7.78) | 35.89 | |
| LSTA | Lisata Therapeutics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.96 | 0.09 | 5.38 | (5.26) | 85.83 | |
| IRIX | IRIDEX | (0.07) | 2 per month | 4.68 | 0.12 | 7.89 | (5.15) | 35.45 | |
| COSM | Cosmos Health | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 8.16 | (10.00) | 28.14 | |
| ENLV | Enlivex Therapeutics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.99 | 0.01 | 8.57 | (7.53) | 24.21 | |
| FEMY | Femasys | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.66 | 0.01 | 15.00 | (11.11) | 47.42 | |
| PASG | Passage Bio | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.89 | 0.14 | 14.59 | (9.29) | 58.13 | |
| MTVA | MetaVia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 11.60 | (20.10) | 79.95 |
Other Forecasting Options for Inspira Technologies
For every potential investor in Inspira, whether a beginner or expert, Inspira Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Inspira Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Inspira. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Inspira Technologies' price trends.Inspira Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Inspira Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Inspira Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Inspira Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Inspira Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Inspira Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Inspira Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Inspira Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Inspira Technologies Oxy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Inspira Technologies Risk Indicators
The analysis of Inspira Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Inspira Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting inspira stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.27 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.41 | |||
| Variance | 19.42 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Inspira Technologies
The number of cover stories for Inspira Technologies depends on current market conditions and Inspira Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Inspira Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Inspira Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Inspira Technologies Short Properties
Inspira Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Inspira Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Inspira Technologies Oxy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Inspira Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inspira Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Inspira Technologies to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Inspira Technologies. If investors know Inspira will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Inspira Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Inspira Technologies Oxy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Inspira that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Inspira Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Inspira Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Inspira Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Inspira Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Inspira Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Inspira Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Inspira Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.