Imax Corp Stock Forward View

IMAX Stock  USD 37.28  0.87  2.39%   
Imax Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Imax Corp's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Imax Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Imax Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Imax Corp's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.423
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.4877
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.3467
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.6676
Wall Street Target Price
44.0909
Using Imax Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Imax Corp from the perspective of Imax Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Imax Corp using Imax Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Imax using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Imax Corp's stock price.

Imax Corp Short Interest

An investor who is long Imax Corp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Imax Corp and may potentially protect profits, hedge Imax Corp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
30.8792
Short Percent
0.1217
Short Ratio
4.04
Shares Short Prior Month
4.2 M
50 Day MA
36.2708

Imax Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Imax Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 37.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.69 and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.50.

Imax Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Imax Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Imax. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Imax can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Imax Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Imax Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Imax Corp.

Imax Corp Implied Volatility

    
  0.59  
Imax Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Imax Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Imax Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Imax Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Imax Corp's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Imax Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 37.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.69 and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.50.

Imax Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 37.31  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Imax Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Imax Stock please use our How to Invest in Imax Corp guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Imax contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Imax Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0369% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Imax Corp trading at USD 37.28, that is roughly USD 0.0137 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Imax Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Imax Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.59%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Imax Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Imax Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Imax Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Imax Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Imax Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Imax Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Imax Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Imax. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Imax Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Imax price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Imax using various technical indicators. When you analyze Imax charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Imax Corp's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1994-06-30
Previous Quarter
109.3 M
Current Value
143.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
76.7 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Imax Corp is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Imax Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Imax Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Imax Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 37.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.69, mean absolute percentage error of 0.94, and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.50.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Imax Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Imax Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Imax Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Imax Corp  Imax Corp Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Imax Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Imax Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Imax Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 35.00 and 39.80, respectively. We have considered Imax Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
37.28
37.40
Expected Value
39.80
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Imax Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Imax Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.8828
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6856
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0191
SAESum of the absolute errors42.5048
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Imax Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Imax Corp. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Imax Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Imax Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.9137.3139.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.5540.4342.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
33.4636.3039.13
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
40.1244.0948.94
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Imax Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Imax Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Imax Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Imax Corp.

Imax Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Imax Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Imax Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Imax Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Imax Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Imax Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Imax Corp's historical news coverage. Imax Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.91 and 39.71, respectively. We have considered Imax Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
37.28
37.31
After-hype Price
39.71
Upside
Imax Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Imax Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Imax Corp Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Imax Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Imax Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Imax Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.10 
2.40
  0.03 
  0.01 
10 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
37.28
37.31
0.08 
774.19  
Notes

Imax Corp Hype Timeline

Imax Corp is currently traded for 37.28. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Imax is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 37.31 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Imax Corp is about 1911.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.29. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 352.21 M. Net Income was 32.7 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 225.81 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Imax Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Imax Stock please use our How to Invest in Imax Corp guide.

Imax Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Imax Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Imax Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Imax Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Imax Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LIONLionsgate Studios Holding(0.12)11 per month 1.50  0.19  4.84 (2.71) 11.61 
MSGEMadison Square Garden 1.47 9 per month 1.28  0.21  3.87 (2.58) 9.61 
CMPRCimpress NV(1.10)8 per month 2.04  0.04  5.27 (3.55) 11.53 
IASIntegral Ad Science(0.01)11 per month 0.00  0.1  0.39 (0.29) 21.04 
NNNextnav Acquisition Corp 0.96 8 per month 4.21  0.06  6.79 (6.11) 30.05 
AMCAMC Entertainment Holdings(0.05)10 per month 0.00 (0.26) 6.28 (5.70) 20.04 
IRDMIridium Communications(0.38)11 per month 2.19  0.03  4.55 (4.69) 15.79 
IQiQIYI Inc 0.32 28 per month 0.00 (0.10) 4.69 (3.81) 10.91 
WLYJohn Wiley Sons 0.04 8 per month 0.00 (0.17) 2.97 (5.14) 12.41 

Other Forecasting Options for Imax Corp

For every potential investor in Imax, whether a beginner or expert, Imax Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Imax Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Imax. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Imax Corp's price trends.

Imax Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Imax Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Imax Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Imax Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Imax Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Imax Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Imax Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Imax Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Imax Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Imax Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Imax Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Imax Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting imax stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Imax Corp

The number of cover stories for Imax Corp depends on current market conditions and Imax Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Imax Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Imax Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Imax Corp Short Properties

Imax Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Imax Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Imax Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Imax Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Imax Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding53.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments100.6 M

Additional Tools for Imax Stock Analysis

When running Imax Corp's price analysis, check to measure Imax Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Imax Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Imax Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Imax Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Imax Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Imax Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.