Madison Square Garden Stock Price Prediction
| MSGE Stock | USD 36.28 0.06 0.17% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
34
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.86) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.56 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.09 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.44 | Wall Street Target Price 45 |
Using Madison Square hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Madison Square Garden from the perspective of Madison Square response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Madison Square to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Madison because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Madison Square after-hype prediction price | USD 36.29 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Madison |
Madison Square After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Madison Square at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Madison Square or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Madison Square, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Madison Square Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Madison Square's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Madison Square's historical news coverage. Madison Square's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.43 and 38.15, respectively. We have considered Madison Square's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Madison Square is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Madison Square Garden is based on 3 months time horizon.
Madison Square Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Madison Square is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Madison Square backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Madison Square, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 1.86 | 0.01 | 0.10 | 10 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
36.28 | 36.29 | 0.03 |
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Madison Square Hype Timeline
Madison Square Garden is now traded for 36.28. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Madison is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 36.29 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Madison Square is about 375.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.38. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 959.26 M. Net Income was 144.3 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 372.64 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Madison Square Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Madison Square Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Madison Square's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Madison Square's future price movements. Getting to know how Madison Square's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Madison Square may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MSGS | Madison Square Garden | 1.98 | 9 per month | 0.76 | 0.03 | 1.45 | (1.32) | 5.10 | |
| GHC | Graham Holdings Co | 3.43 | 10 per month | 1.28 | 0.09 | 4.60 | (2.48) | 15.66 | |
| BATRA | Atlanta Braves Holdings, | 0.03 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 1.45 | (1.98) | 5.15 | |
| LYV | Live Nation Entertainment | (2.43) | 7 per month | 0.48 | 0.30 | 2.70 | (1.51) | 9.16 | |
| BATRK | Atlanta Braves Holdings, | (0.53) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.80 | (2.35) | 4.84 |
Madison Square Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Madison price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Madison using various technical indicators. When you analyze Madison charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Madison Square Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Madison Square stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Madison Square Garden, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Madison Square based on analysis of Madison Square hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Madison Square's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Madison Square's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 9.55E-4 | 8.59E-4 | 5.7E-4 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.62 | 1.71 | 1.62 |
Story Coverage note for Madison Square
The number of cover stories for Madison Square depends on current market conditions and Madison Square's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Madison Square is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Madison Square's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Madison Square Short Properties
Madison Square's future price predictability will typically decrease when Madison Square's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Madison Square Garden often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Madison Square's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Madison Square's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 48.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 33.6 M |
Complementary Tools for Madison Stock analysis
When running Madison Square's price analysis, check to measure Madison Square's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Madison Square is operating at the current time. Most of Madison Square's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Madison Square's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Madison Square's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Madison Square to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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