Immersion Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| IMMR Stock | USD 6.68 0.16 2.45% |
Immersion Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Immersion's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Immersion's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Immersion fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Immersion's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.238 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.812 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.419 | Wall Street Target Price 13.5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.55 |
Using Immersion hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Immersion from the perspective of Immersion response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Immersion using Immersion's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Immersion using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Immersion's stock price.
Immersion Short Interest
An investor who is long Immersion may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Immersion and may potentially protect profits, hedge Immersion with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 7.4215 | Short Percent 0.0999 | Short Ratio 6.53 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.2 M | 50 Day MA 6.9992 |
Immersion Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Immersion on the next trading day is expected to be 6.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.29.Immersion Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Immersion's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Immersion. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Immersion can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Immersion. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Immersion's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Immersion.
Immersion Implied Volatility | 0.85 |
Immersion's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Immersion stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Immersion's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Immersion stock will not fluctuate a lot when Immersion's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Immersion on the next trading day is expected to be 6.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.29. Immersion after-hype prediction price | USD 6.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Immersion | Build AI portfolio with Immersion Stock |
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Immersion Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Immersion's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Immersion's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Immersion stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Immersion's open interest, investors have to compare it to Immersion's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Immersion is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Immersion. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Immersion Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Immersion price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Immersion using various technical indicators. When you analyze Immersion charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Immersion Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 9th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Immersion on the next trading day is expected to be 6.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.29.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Immersion Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Immersion's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Immersion Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Immersion | Immersion Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Immersion Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Immersion's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Immersion's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.64 and 9.72, respectively. We have considered Immersion's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Immersion stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Immersion stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.9784 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 8.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1215 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0186 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.29 |
Predictive Modules for Immersion
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Immersion. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Immersion After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Immersion at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Immersion or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Immersion, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Immersion Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Immersion's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Immersion's historical news coverage. Immersion's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.64 and 9.72, respectively. We have considered Immersion's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Immersion is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Immersion is based on 3 months time horizon.
Immersion Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Immersion is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Immersion backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Immersion, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 3.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.68 | 6.68 | 0.00 |
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Immersion Hype Timeline
Immersion is currently traded for 6.68. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Immersion is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Immersion is about 38000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.68. About 33.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.69. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Immersion last dividend was issued on the 20th of October 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Immersion to cross-verify your projections.Immersion Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Immersion's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Immersion's future price movements. Getting to know how Immersion's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Immersion may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DUOT | Duos Technologies Group | (0.28) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 8.00 | (7.61) | 28.15 | |
| EB | Eventbrite Class A | (0.01) | 11 per month | 0.84 | 0.12 | 4.18 | (3.58) | 79.53 | |
| MRT | Marti Technologies | 0.26 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.82 | (4.02) | 20.93 | |
| PERF | Perfect Corp | (0.06) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 2.91 | (4.52) | 10.44 | |
| ONTF | ON24 Inc | (0.07) | 10 per month | 1.17 | 0.11 | 4.60 | (2.39) | 39.29 | |
| WALD | Waldencast Acquisition Corp | 0.01 | 11 per month | 4.42 | 0.02 | 10.14 | (8.06) | 33.33 | |
| ASUR | Asure Software | (0.01) | 8 per month | 2.39 | 0.01 | 3.91 | (3.51) | 12.73 | |
| TCX | Tucows Inc | 0.42 | 7 per month | 2.80 | 0.05 | 5.31 | (4.36) | 16.41 | |
| CCRD | CoreCard Corp | (0.44) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.18 | (2.96) | 16.08 | |
| AEYE | AudioEye | 0.1 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.37) | 3.33 | (6.58) | 14.51 |
Other Forecasting Options for Immersion
For every potential investor in Immersion, whether a beginner or expert, Immersion's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Immersion Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Immersion. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Immersion's price trends.Immersion Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Immersion stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Immersion could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Immersion by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Immersion Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Immersion stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Immersion shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Immersion stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Immersion entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Immersion Risk Indicators
The analysis of Immersion's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Immersion's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting immersion stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.85 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.01 | |||
| Variance | 9.09 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.36 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.85 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.25) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Immersion
The number of cover stories for Immersion depends on current market conditions and Immersion's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Immersion is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Immersion's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Immersion Short Properties
Immersion's future price predictability will typically decrease when Immersion's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Immersion often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Immersion's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Immersion's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 153.9 M |
Additional Tools for Immersion Stock Analysis
When running Immersion's price analysis, check to measure Immersion's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Immersion is operating at the current time. Most of Immersion's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Immersion's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Immersion's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Immersion to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.