Impala Platinum OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| IMPUF Stock | USD 19.63 1.03 5.54% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Impala Platinum Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 19.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.47. Impala OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Impala Platinum's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Impala Platinum's otc stock price is roughly 66. This usually indicates that the otc stock is rather overbought by investors as of 23rd of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Impala, making its price go up or down. Momentum 66
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Impala Platinum based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Impala Platinum hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Impala Platinum Holdings from the perspective of Impala Platinum response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Impala Platinum Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 19.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.47. Impala Platinum after-hype prediction price | USD 19.63 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Impala |
Impala Platinum Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Impala price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Impala using various technical indicators. When you analyze Impala charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Impala Platinum Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Impala Platinum Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 19.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 0.33, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.47.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Impala OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Impala Platinum's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Impala Platinum OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Impala Platinum | Impala Platinum Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Impala Platinum Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Impala Platinum's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Impala Platinum's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.03 and 24.50, respectively. We have considered Impala Platinum's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Impala Platinum otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Impala Platinum otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.9937 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4503 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.032 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 27.4707 |
Predictive Modules for Impala Platinum
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Impala Platinum Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Impala Platinum's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Impala Platinum After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Impala Platinum at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Impala Platinum or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Impala Platinum, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Impala Platinum Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Impala Platinum's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Impala Platinum's historical news coverage. Impala Platinum's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.93 and 24.33, respectively. We have considered Impala Platinum's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Impala Platinum is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Impala Platinum Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Impala Platinum OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Impala Platinum is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Impala Platinum backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Impala Platinum, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.02 | 4.74 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
19.63 | 19.63 | 0.00 |
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Impala Platinum Hype Timeline
Impala Platinum Holdings is currently traded for 19.63. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.07. Impala is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Impala Platinum is about 7292.31%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.70. About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.52. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Impala Platinum Holdings last dividend was issued on the 22nd of September 2022. The entity had 8:1 split on the 6th of November 2006. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Impala Platinum to cross-verify your projections.Impala Platinum Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Impala Platinum's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Impala Platinum's future price movements. Getting to know how Impala Platinum's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Impala Platinum may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SBYSF | Sibanye Stillwater Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.50 | 0.16 | 9.09 | (6.25) | 21.87 | |
| EDVMF | Endeavour Mining Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.66 | 0.17 | 4.80 | (4.65) | 11.56 | |
| KGHPF | KGHM Polska Miedz | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.91 | 0.22 | 7.62 | (1.66) | 26.58 | |
| GNENY | Ganfeng Lithium Co | 0.13 | 14 per month | 3.84 | 0.14 | 9.63 | (6.37) | 24.04 | |
| SCABY | Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.92 | |
| AHKSY | Asahi Kaisei Corp | 0.13 | 12 per month | 1.03 | 0.13 | 2.48 | (1.79) | 8.30 | |
| AHKSF | Asahi Kasei | 0.13 | 8 per month | 0.90 | 0.08 | 5.00 | (2.37) | 11.13 | |
| STMNF | Sumitomo Metal Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.71 | |
| SHTLF | South32 Limited | 0.13 | 13 per month | 2.02 | 0.14 | 7.50 | (3.77) | 21.07 | |
| SVCBF | Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget | 0.13 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 0.38 | 0.00 | 7.85 |
Other Forecasting Options for Impala Platinum
For every potential investor in Impala, whether a beginner or expert, Impala Platinum's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Impala OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Impala. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Impala Platinum's price trends.Impala Platinum Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Impala Platinum otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Impala Platinum could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Impala Platinum by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Impala Platinum Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Impala Platinum otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Impala Platinum shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Impala Platinum otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Impala Platinum Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Impala Platinum Risk Indicators
The analysis of Impala Platinum's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Impala Platinum's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting impala otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.06 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.68 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.7 | |||
| Variance | 22.08 | |||
| Downside Variance | 35.35 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.2 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.17) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Impala Platinum
The number of cover stories for Impala Platinum depends on current market conditions and Impala Platinum's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Impala Platinum is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Impala Platinum's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Impala OTC Stock
Impala Platinum financial ratios help investors to determine whether Impala OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Impala with respect to the benefits of owning Impala Platinum security.