Integrated Media Stock Forward View

IMTE Stock  USD 0.73  0  0.27%   
Integrated Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Integrated Media stock prices and determine the direction of Integrated Media Technology's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Integrated Media's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Integrated Media's share price is approaching 48. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Integrated Media, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 48

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Integrated Media's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Integrated Media and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Integrated Media's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Integrated Media Technology, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Integrated Media's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.86)
Using Integrated Media hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Integrated Media Technology from the perspective of Integrated Media response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Integrated Media Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 0.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.84.

Integrated Media after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.76  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Integrated Media to cross-verify your projections.

Integrated Media Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Integrated price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Integrated using various technical indicators. When you analyze Integrated charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Integrated Media Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Integrated Media's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2013-12-31
Previous Quarter
3.2 K
Current Value
675.8 K
Quarterly Volatility
1.5 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Integrated Media is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Integrated Media Technology value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Integrated Media Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Integrated Media Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 0.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.84.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Integrated Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Integrated Media's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Integrated Media Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Integrated Media  Integrated Media Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Integrated Media Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Integrated Media's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Integrated Media's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 10.27, respectively. We have considered Integrated Media's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.73
0.78
Expected Value
10.27
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Integrated Media stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Integrated Media stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.9446
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.063
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.084
SAESum of the absolute errors3.8434
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Integrated Media Technology. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Integrated Media. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Integrated Media

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Integrated Media Tec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Integrated Media's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.7610.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.6510.15
Details

Integrated Media After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Integrated Media at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Integrated Media or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Integrated Media, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Integrated Media Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Integrated Media's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Integrated Media's historical news coverage. Integrated Media's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 10.26, respectively. We have considered Integrated Media's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.73
0.76
After-hype Price
10.26
Upside
Integrated Media is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Integrated Media Tec is based on 3 months time horizon.

Integrated Media Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Integrated Media is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Integrated Media backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Integrated Media, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.10 
9.50
  0.03 
 0.00  
32 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 32 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.73
0.76
3.83 
3,800  
Notes

Integrated Media Hype Timeline

Integrated Media Tec is currently traded for 0.73. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Integrated is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.76 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 3.83%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Integrated Media is about 135714.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.73. Integrated Media Technology currently holds 11.14 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.44, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 32 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Integrated Media to cross-verify your projections.

Integrated Media Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Integrated Media's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Integrated Media's future price movements. Getting to know how Integrated Media's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Integrated Media may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
OLBOLB Group(0.01)8 per month 0.00 (0.15) 10.53 (11.01) 51.07 
AUUDAuddia Inc(0.04)9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 15.15 (11.11) 36.34 
CETXCemtrex(0.10)9 per month 0.00 (0.02) 15.44 (18.92) 165.95 
TRUGTrugolf 0.02 7 per month 0.00 (0.19) 11.22 (12.11) 51.36 
TAOPTaoping 0.04 6 per month 0.00 (0.05) 11.43 (8.04) 51.37 
TGLTreasure Global(0.1)11 per month 12.19  0.04  12.67 (22.25) 316.34 
WLDSWearable Devices(0.03)8 per month 0.00 (0.21) 10.47 (9.80) 53.88 
FRGTFreight Technologies(0.01)9 per month 0.00 (0.28) 9.24 (16.43) 55.36 
BOXLBoxlight Corp Class(0.09)5 per month 0.00 (0.32) 7.82 (15.48) 56.16 
BIYABaiya International Group 0.25 8 per month 0.00 (0.02) 16.71 (16.61) 93.44 

Other Forecasting Options for Integrated Media

For every potential investor in Integrated, whether a beginner or expert, Integrated Media's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Integrated Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Integrated. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Integrated Media's price trends.

Integrated Media Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Integrated Media stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Integrated Media could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Integrated Media by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Integrated Media Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Integrated Media stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Integrated Media shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Integrated Media stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Integrated Media Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Integrated Media Risk Indicators

The analysis of Integrated Media's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Integrated Media's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting integrated stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Integrated Media

The number of cover stories for Integrated Media depends on current market conditions and Integrated Media's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Integrated Media is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Integrated Media's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Integrated Media Short Properties

Integrated Media's future price predictability will typically decrease when Integrated Media's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Integrated Media Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Integrated Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Integrated Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments675.8 K
Shares Float2.9 M
When determining whether Integrated Media Tec is a strong investment it is important to analyze Integrated Media's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Integrated Media's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Integrated Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Integrated Media to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Will Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector continue expanding? Could Integrated diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Integrated Media. Market participants price Integrated higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Integrated Media data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share
(5.55)
Revenue Per Share
0.043
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.86)
Return On Assets
(0.38)
Return On Equity
(0.90)
The market value of Integrated Media Tec is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Integrated that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Integrated Media's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Integrated Media's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Integrated Media's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Integrated Media's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Integrated Media's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Integrated Media is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Integrated Media's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.