Immsi SpA Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| IMY Stock | EUR 0.51 0.01 2.00% |
Immsi Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Immsi SpA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 16th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Immsi SpA's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.24) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.004 |
Using Immsi SpA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Immsi SpA from the perspective of Immsi SpA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Immsi SpA on the next trading day is expected to be 0.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.68. Immsi SpA after-hype prediction price | EUR 0.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Immsi |
Immsi SpA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Immsi price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Immsi using various technical indicators. When you analyze Immsi charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Immsi SpA Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 17th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Immsi SpA on the next trading day is expected to be 0.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.68.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Immsi Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Immsi SpA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Immsi SpA Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Immsi SpA | Immsi SpA Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Immsi SpA Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Immsi SpA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Immsi SpA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.20, respectively. We have considered Immsi SpA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Immsi SpA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Immsi SpA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.0822 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0013 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0113 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0215 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.6776 |
Predictive Modules for Immsi SpA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Immsi SpA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Immsi SpA After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Immsi SpA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Immsi SpA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Immsi SpA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Immsi SpA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Immsi SpA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Immsi SpA's historical news coverage. Immsi SpA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 4.20, respectively. We have considered Immsi SpA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Immsi SpA is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Immsi SpA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Immsi SpA Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Immsi SpA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Immsi SpA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Immsi SpA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 3.69 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.51 | 0.51 | 0.00 |
|
Immsi SpA Hype Timeline
Immsi SpA is currently traded for 0.51on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.05. Immsi is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Immsi SpA is about 917.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.56. About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.91. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Immsi SpA last dividend was issued on the 19th of May 2025. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Immsi SpA to cross-verify your projections.Immsi SpA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Immsi SpA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Immsi SpA's future price movements. Getting to know how Immsi SpA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Immsi SpA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PQ90 | BK MANDIRI ADR20 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.82 | 0.03 | 3.57 | (9.09) | 42.92 | |
| PQ9 | PT Bank Mandiri | 0.04 | 1 per month | 5.73 | 0.05 | 17.39 | (14.29) | 40.26 | |
| BYRA | PT Bank Rakyat | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.15 | 0.05 | 11.11 | (10.00) | 26.67 | |
| 6GAA | Grupo Aval Acciones | 0.08 | 4 per month | 2.33 | (0.01) | 5.31 | (4.10) | 20.33 | |
| KSF1 | SHINHAN FINL ADR1 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.70 | 0.13 | 5.33 | (3.31) | 9.59 | |
| KBIA | KB Financial Group | 0.50 | 8 per month | 1.65 | 0.14 | 4.35 | (3.45) | 11.24 | |
| 2WGA | WOORI FIN GRP | 2.80 | 3 per month | 1.94 | 0.20 | 7.08 | (2.46) | 19.36 | |
| LFL0 | LATAM Airlines Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.16 | 0.16 | 3.85 | (4.39) | 13.43 | |
| BSA | Banco Santander Chile | 0.00 | 8 per month | 2.86 | 0.08 | 4.38 | (4.51) | 14.55 | |
| G4RA | Banco de Chile | 0.60 | 8 per month | 2.33 | 0.09 | 4.94 | (4.27) | 10.44 |
Other Forecasting Options for Immsi SpA
For every potential investor in Immsi, whether a beginner or expert, Immsi SpA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Immsi Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Immsi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Immsi SpA's price trends.Immsi SpA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Immsi SpA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Immsi SpA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Immsi SpA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Immsi SpA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Immsi SpA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Immsi SpA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Immsi SpA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Immsi SpA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.51 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.51 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.005 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.01 |
Immsi SpA Risk Indicators
The analysis of Immsi SpA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Immsi SpA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting immsi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.19 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.85 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.55 | |||
| Variance | 12.63 | |||
| Downside Variance | 17.78 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.15 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.41) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Immsi SpA
The number of cover stories for Immsi SpA depends on current market conditions and Immsi SpA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Immsi SpA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Immsi SpA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Other Information on Investing in Immsi Stock
Immsi SpA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Immsi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Immsi with respect to the benefits of owning Immsi SpA security.