Indal Aluminium Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

INAI Stock  IDR 189.00  2.00  1.07%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Indal Aluminium Industry on the next trading day is expected to be 165.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 467.87. Indal Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of Indal Aluminium's stock price is about 69. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Indal, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 69

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Indal Aluminium's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Indal Aluminium Industry, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Indal Aluminium hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Indal Aluminium Industry from the perspective of Indal Aluminium response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Indal Aluminium Industry on the next trading day is expected to be 165.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 467.87.

Indal Aluminium after-hype prediction price

    
  IDR 189.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Indal Aluminium to cross-verify your projections.

Indal Aluminium Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Indal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Indal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Indal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Indal Aluminium price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Indal Aluminium Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 20th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Indal Aluminium Industry on the next trading day is expected to be 165.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.67, mean absolute percentage error of 107.72, and the sum of the absolute errors of 467.87.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Indal Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Indal Aluminium's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Indal Aluminium Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Indal AluminiumIndal Aluminium Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Indal Aluminium Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Indal Aluminium's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Indal Aluminium's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 162.28 and 169.01, respectively. We have considered Indal Aluminium's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
189.00
162.28
Downside
165.64
Expected Value
169.01
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Indal Aluminium stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Indal Aluminium stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.79
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation7.67
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0474
SAESum of the absolute errors467.873
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Indal Aluminium Industry historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Indal Aluminium

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Indal Aluminium Industry. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
185.64189.00192.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
149.73153.09207.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
127.29163.45199.61
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Indal Aluminium

For every potential investor in Indal, whether a beginner or expert, Indal Aluminium's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Indal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Indal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Indal Aluminium's price trends.

Indal Aluminium Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Indal Aluminium stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Indal Aluminium could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Indal Aluminium by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Indal Aluminium Industry Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Indal Aluminium's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Indal Aluminium's current price.

Indal Aluminium Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Indal Aluminium stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Indal Aluminium shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Indal Aluminium stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Indal Aluminium Industry entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Indal Aluminium Risk Indicators

The analysis of Indal Aluminium's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Indal Aluminium's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting indal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Indal Stock

Indal Aluminium financial ratios help investors to determine whether Indal Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Indal with respect to the benefits of owning Indal Aluminium security.