Intelligent Bio Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

INBS Stock  USD 1.51  0.04  2.58%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Intelligent Bio Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 1.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.11. Intelligent Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Intelligent Bio's Receivables Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Asset Turnover is likely to gain to 0.24 in 2024, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 1.25 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to gain to about 3 M in 2024, whereas Net Loss is likely to drop (10 M) in 2024.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Intelligent Bio's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2018-06-30
Previous Quarter
6.3 M
Current Value
M
Quarterly Volatility
5.8 M
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Intelligent Bio is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Intelligent Bio Solutions value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Intelligent Bio Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Intelligent Bio Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 1.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.11.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Intelligent Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Intelligent Bio's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Intelligent Bio Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Intelligent BioIntelligent Bio Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Intelligent Bio Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Intelligent Bio's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Intelligent Bio's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 8.90, respectively. We have considered Intelligent Bio's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.51
1.44
Expected Value
8.90
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Intelligent Bio stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Intelligent Bio stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.9608
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0985
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0603
SAESum of the absolute errors6.1076
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Intelligent Bio Solutions. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Intelligent Bio. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Intelligent Bio

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intelligent Bio Solutions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.559.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.203.9411.40
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.2811.3012.54
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Intelligent Bio. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Intelligent Bio's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Intelligent Bio's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Intelligent Bio Solutions.

Other Forecasting Options for Intelligent Bio

For every potential investor in Intelligent, whether a beginner or expert, Intelligent Bio's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Intelligent Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Intelligent. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Intelligent Bio's price trends.

Intelligent Bio Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Intelligent Bio stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Intelligent Bio could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Intelligent Bio by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Intelligent Bio Solutions Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Intelligent Bio's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Intelligent Bio's current price.

Intelligent Bio Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Intelligent Bio stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Intelligent Bio shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Intelligent Bio stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Intelligent Bio Solutions entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Intelligent Bio Risk Indicators

The analysis of Intelligent Bio's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Intelligent Bio's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting intelligent stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  

Additional Tools for Intelligent Stock Analysis

When running Intelligent Bio's price analysis, check to measure Intelligent Bio's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intelligent Bio is operating at the current time. Most of Intelligent Bio's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intelligent Bio's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intelligent Bio's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intelligent Bio to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.