Indospring Tbk Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

INDS Stock  IDR 1,505  265.00  14.97%   
Indospring Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now The value of RSI of Indospring Tbk's share price is above 80 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 99

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Indospring Tbk's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Indospring Tbk, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Indospring Tbk hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Indospring Tbk from the perspective of Indospring Tbk response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Indospring Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 1,681 with a mean absolute deviation of 293.90 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18,222.

Indospring Tbk after-hype prediction price

    
  IDR 1505.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Indospring Tbk to cross-verify your projections.

Indospring Tbk Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Indospring price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Indospring using various technical indicators. When you analyze Indospring charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Indospring Tbk price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Indospring Tbk Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Indospring Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 1,681 with a mean absolute deviation of 293.90, mean absolute percentage error of 147,988, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18,222.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Indospring Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Indospring Tbk's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Indospring Tbk Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Indospring Tbk  Indospring Tbk Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Indospring Tbk Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Indospring Tbk's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Indospring Tbk's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,671 and 1,691, respectively. We have considered Indospring Tbk's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1,505
1,681
Expected Value
1,691
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Indospring Tbk stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Indospring Tbk stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria131.8533
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation293.8964
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.6571
SAESum of the absolute errors18221.5791
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Indospring Tbk historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Indospring Tbk

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Indospring Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,4951,5051,515
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,2721,2811,656
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-23,2261,9553,214
Details

Indospring Tbk After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Indospring Tbk at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Indospring Tbk or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Indospring Tbk, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Indospring Tbk Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Indospring Tbk's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Indospring Tbk's historical news coverage. Indospring Tbk's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1,495 and 1,515, respectively. We have considered Indospring Tbk's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1,505
1,505
After-hype Price
1,515
Upside
Indospring Tbk is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Indospring Tbk is based on 3 months time horizon.

Indospring Tbk Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Indospring Tbk is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Indospring Tbk backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Indospring Tbk, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  3.60 
9.75
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1,505
1,505
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Indospring Tbk Hype Timeline

Indospring Tbk is currently traded for 1,505on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Indospring is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 3.6%. %. The volatility of related hype on Indospring Tbk is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,505. About 88.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.48. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Indospring Tbk recorded earning per share (EPS) of 217.45. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of July 2022. The firm had 1:10 split on the 3rd of July 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Indospring Tbk to cross-verify your projections.

Indospring Tbk Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Indospring Tbk's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Indospring Tbk's future price movements. Getting to know how Indospring Tbk's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Indospring Tbk may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Indospring Tbk

For every potential investor in Indospring, whether a beginner or expert, Indospring Tbk's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Indospring Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Indospring. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Indospring Tbk's price trends.

Indospring Tbk Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Indospring Tbk stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Indospring Tbk could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Indospring Tbk by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Indospring Tbk Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Indospring Tbk stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Indospring Tbk shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Indospring Tbk stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Indospring Tbk entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Indospring Tbk Risk Indicators

The analysis of Indospring Tbk's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Indospring Tbk's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting indospring stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Indospring Tbk

The number of cover stories for Indospring Tbk depends on current market conditions and Indospring Tbk's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Indospring Tbk is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Indospring Tbk's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Indospring Tbk Short Properties

Indospring Tbk's future price predictability will typically decrease when Indospring Tbk's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Indospring Tbk often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Indospring Tbk's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Indospring Tbk's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding656.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments75.4 B

Other Information on Investing in Indospring Stock

Indospring Tbk financial ratios help investors to determine whether Indospring Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Indospring with respect to the benefits of owning Indospring Tbk security.