Inspire Medical Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| INSP Stock | USD 81.79 0.46 0.57% |
Inspire Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Inspire Medical's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Inspire Medical's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Inspire Medical fundamentals over time.
As of today, the RSI of Inspire Medical's share price is approaching 43. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Inspire Medical, making its price go up or down. Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.44) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.6623 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.5583 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.6758 | Wall Street Target Price 130.2 |
Using Inspire Medical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Inspire Medical Systems from the perspective of Inspire Medical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Inspire Medical using Inspire Medical's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Inspire using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Inspire Medical's stock price.
Inspire Medical Short Interest
An investor who is long Inspire Medical may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Inspire Medical and may potentially protect profits, hedge Inspire Medical with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 110.8683 | Short Percent 0.1352 | Short Ratio 1.51 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.5 M | 50 Day MA 104.806 |
Inspire Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Inspire Medical Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 81.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 232.58.Inspire Medical Systems Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Inspire Medical's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Inspire. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Inspire can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Inspire Medical Systems. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Inspire Medical's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Inspire Medical.
Inspire Medical Implied Volatility | 0.76 |
Inspire Medical's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Inspire Medical Systems stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Inspire Medical's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Inspire Medical stock will not fluctuate a lot when Inspire Medical's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Inspire Medical Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 81.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 232.58. Inspire Medical after-hype prediction price | USD 82.89 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Inspire Medical to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Inspire contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Inspire Medical Systems will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0475% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Inspire Medical trading at USD 81.79, that is roughly USD 0.0389 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Inspire Medical's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Inspire Medical Systems options at the current volatility level of 0.76%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Inspire Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Inspire Medical's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Inspire Medical's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Inspire Medical stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Inspire Medical's open interest, investors have to compare it to Inspire Medical's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Inspire Medical is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Inspire. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Inspire Medical Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Inspire price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Inspire using various technical indicators. When you analyze Inspire charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Inspire Medical Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Inspire Medical Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 81.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.81, mean absolute percentage error of 40.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 232.58.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Inspire Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Inspire Medical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Inspire Medical Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Inspire Medical | Inspire Medical Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Inspire Medical Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Inspire Medical's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Inspire Medical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 75.35 and 88.23, respectively. We have considered Inspire Medical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Inspire Medical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Inspire Medical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.8039 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1085 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.8128 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0372 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 232.58 |
Predictive Modules for Inspire Medical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inspire Medical Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Inspire Medical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Inspire Medical After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Inspire Medical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Inspire Medical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Inspire Medical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Inspire Medical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Inspire Medical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Inspire Medical's historical news coverage. Inspire Medical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 76.49 and 89.29, respectively. We have considered Inspire Medical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Inspire Medical is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Inspire Medical Systems is based on 3 months time horizon.
Inspire Medical Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Inspire Medical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Inspire Medical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Inspire Medical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 6.44 | 1.27 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
81.79 | 82.89 | 1.34 |
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Inspire Medical Hype Timeline
Inspire Medical Systems is currently traded for 81.79. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.27, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Inspire is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 82.89 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 192.81%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 1.34%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.38%. The volatility of related hype on Inspire Medical is about 13416.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 81.77. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 802.8 M. Net Income was 53.51 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 749.48 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Inspire Medical to cross-verify your projections.Inspire Medical Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Inspire Medical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Inspire Medical's future price movements. Getting to know how Inspire Medical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Inspire Medical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ITGR | Integer Holdings Corp | 0.89 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.57 | (3.44) | 33.36 | |
| AORT | Artivion | 0.01 | 11 per month | 1.67 | (0.02) | 2.77 | (2.52) | 8.62 | |
| ADUS | Addus HomeCare | (1.87) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.84 | (3.16) | 11.54 | |
| PINC | Premier | 0.08 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.50 | (0.57) | 30.54 | |
| PRCT | Procept Biorobotics Corp | 2.20 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 7.06 | (5.10) | 17.63 | |
| BKD | Brookdale Senior Living | (0.75) | 7 per month | 0.60 | 0.28 | 4.17 | (1.70) | 9.26 | |
| LMAT | LeMaitre Vascular | (2.05) | 33 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.17 | (2.30) | 8.28 | |
| ARDT | Ardent Health Partners | (0.19) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.47 | (3.69) | 36.66 | |
| RCUS | Arcus Biosciences | (0.04) | 10 per month | 4.11 | 0.08 | 6.88 | (6.93) | 21.81 | |
| ETNB | 89bio Inc | 1.24 | 24 per month | 1.83 | 0.09 | 3.02 | (4.66) | 86.02 |
Other Forecasting Options for Inspire Medical
For every potential investor in Inspire, whether a beginner or expert, Inspire Medical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Inspire Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Inspire. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Inspire Medical's price trends.Inspire Medical Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Inspire Medical stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Inspire Medical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Inspire Medical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Inspire Medical Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Inspire Medical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Inspire Medical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Inspire Medical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Inspire Medical Systems entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Inspire Medical Risk Indicators
The analysis of Inspire Medical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Inspire Medical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting inspire stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.64 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.18 | |||
| Variance | 38.18 | |||
| Downside Variance | 26.97 | |||
| Semi Variance | 25.28 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.19) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Inspire Medical
The number of cover stories for Inspire Medical depends on current market conditions and Inspire Medical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Inspire Medical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Inspire Medical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Inspire Medical Short Properties
Inspire Medical's future price predictability will typically decrease when Inspire Medical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Inspire Medical Systems often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Inspire Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inspire Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 445.5 M |
Additional Tools for Inspire Stock Analysis
When running Inspire Medical's price analysis, check to measure Inspire Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Inspire Medical is operating at the current time. Most of Inspire Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Inspire Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Inspire Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Inspire Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.