International Seaways Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| INSW Stock | USD 56.30 1.77 3.05% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of International Seaways on the next trading day is expected to be 56.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.82 and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.50. International Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of relative strength index of International Seaways' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.23) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.791 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.788 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.9676 | Wall Street Target Price 60.2 |
Using International Seaways hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of International Seaways from the perspective of International Seaways response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards International Seaways using International Seaways' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards International using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of International Seaways' stock price.
International Seaways Short Interest
An investor who is long International Seaways may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about International Seaways and may potentially protect profits, hedge International Seaways with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 43.6427 | Short Percent 0.0461 | Short Ratio 3.19 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.1 M | 50 Day MA 51.715 |
International Seaways Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to International Seaways' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in International. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding International can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around International Seaways. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
International Seaways Implied Volatility | 0.66 |
International Seaways' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of International Seaways stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if International Seaways' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that International Seaways stock will not fluctuate a lot when International Seaways' options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of International Seaways on the next trading day is expected to be 56.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.82 and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.50. International Seaways after-hype prediction price | USD 56.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
International | Build AI portfolio with International Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current International contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that International Seaways will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0413% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With International Seaways trading at USD 56.3, that is roughly USD 0.0232 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating International Seaways' daily price movement you should consider acquiring International Seaways options at the current volatility level of 0.66%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 International Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast International Seaways' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in International Seaways' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for International Seaways stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current International Seaways' open interest, investors have to compare it to International Seaways' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of International Seaways is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in International. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
International Seaways Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine International price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for International using various technical indicators. When you analyze International charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
International Seaways Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of International Seaways on the next trading day is expected to be 56.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.82, mean absolute percentage error of 1.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.50.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict International Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that International Seaways' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
International Seaways Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest International Seaways | International Seaways Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
International Seaways Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting International Seaways' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. International Seaways' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 54.36 and 58.82, respectively. We have considered International Seaways' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of International Seaways stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent International Seaways stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1098 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.822 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0159 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 48.5008 |
Predictive Modules for International Seaways
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as International Seaways. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of International Seaways' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
International Seaways After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of International Seaways at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in International Seaways or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of International Seaways, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
International Seaways Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting International Seaways' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on International Seaways' historical news coverage. International Seaways' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 53.81 and 58.31, respectively. We have considered International Seaways' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
International Seaways is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of International Seaways is based on 3 months time horizon.
International Seaways Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as International Seaways is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading International Seaways backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with International Seaways, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 2.23 | 0.24 | 0.07 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
56.30 | 56.06 | 0.43 |
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International Seaways Hype Timeline
International Seaways is currently traded for 56.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.24, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. International is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 56.06. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.43%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.29%. The volatility of related hype on International Seaways is about 899.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 56.37. About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.44. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. International Seaways last dividend was issued on the 9th of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of International Seaways to cross-verify your projections.International Seaways Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to International Seaways' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict International Seaways' future price movements. Getting to know how International Seaways' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how International Seaways may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TRMD | Torm PLC Class | (0.06) | 9 per month | 1.45 | 0.04 | 4.13 | (2.56) | 10.37 | |
| DHT | DHT Holdings | 0.06 | 10 per month | 1.40 | 0.05 | 2.98 | (2.35) | 12.28 | |
| OII | Oceaneering International | 1.07 | 10 per month | 1.89 | 0.09 | 5.21 | (3.35) | 12.51 | |
| LBRT | Liberty Oilfield Services | 0.17 | 12 per month | 3.08 | 0.14 | 5.41 | (6.06) | 18.46 | |
| NOG | Northern Oil Gas | 0.67 | 9 per month | 2.35 | 0.03 | 5.26 | (3.89) | 10.76 | |
| DKL | Delek Logistics Partners | (0.20) | 9 per month | 1.27 | 0.06 | 2.18 | (1.69) | 10.05 | |
| PTEN | Patterson UTI Energy | 0.01 | 8 per month | 2.44 | 0.13 | 5.89 | (4.64) | 17.67 | |
| DK | Delek Energy | 1.23 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 5.60 | (3.81) | 12.71 | |
| TNK | Teekay Tankers | 0.41 | 7 per month | 1.72 | 0.05 | 3.67 | (2.82) | 12.96 | |
| KNTK | Kinetik Holdings | (0.88) | 9 per month | 2.44 | 0.04 | 4.08 | (3.31) | 14.81 |
Other Forecasting Options for International Seaways
For every potential investor in International, whether a beginner or expert, International Seaways' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. International Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in International. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying International Seaways' price trends.International Seaways Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with International Seaways stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of International Seaways could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing International Seaways by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
International Seaways Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how International Seaways stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading International Seaways shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying International Seaways stock market strength indicators, traders can identify International Seaways entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 56.3 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 56.3 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.89) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.77) |
International Seaways Risk Indicators
The analysis of International Seaways' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in International Seaways' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting international stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.34 | |||
| Variance | 5.45 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.81 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.04 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.87) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for International Seaways
The number of cover stories for International Seaways depends on current market conditions and International Seaways' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that International Seaways is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about International Seaways' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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International Seaways Short Properties
International Seaways' future price predictability will typically decrease when International Seaways' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of International Seaways often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential International Seaways' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. International Seaways' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 157.5 M |
Additional Tools for International Stock Analysis
When running International Seaways' price analysis, check to measure International Seaways' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy International Seaways is operating at the current time. Most of International Seaways' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of International Seaways' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move International Seaways' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of International Seaways to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.