Innventure Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution

INV Stock   3.53  0.05  1.40%   
Innventure Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Innventure's share price is approaching 47. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Innventure, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 47

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Innventure's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Innventure and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Innventure's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Innventure, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Innventure's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.24)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.06)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(1.40)
Wall Street Target Price
12
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.685
Using Innventure hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Innventure from the perspective of Innventure response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Innventure using Innventure's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Innventure using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Innventure's stock price.

Innventure Short Interest

An investor who is long Innventure may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Innventure and may potentially protect profits, hedge Innventure with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
4.6266
Short Percent
0.0943
Short Ratio
2.73
Shares Short Prior Month
4.2 M
50 Day MA
4.4279

Innventure Relative Strength Index

Innventure Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Innventure's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Innventure. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Innventure can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Innventure. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Innventure's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Innventure.

Innventure Implied Volatility

    
  1.6  
Innventure's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Innventure stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Innventure's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Innventure stock will not fluctuate a lot when Innventure's options are near their expiration.

Innventure after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.48  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Innventure to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Innventure Stock please use our How to Invest in Innventure guide.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Innventure Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Innventure's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Innventure's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Innventure stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Innventure's open interest, investors have to compare it to Innventure's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Innventure is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Innventure. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Innventure Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Innventure price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Innventure using various technical indicators. When you analyze Innventure charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Innventure has current Accumulation Distribution of 0.0947. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Innventure is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Innventure to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Innventure trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Innventure VolatilityBacktest InnventureInformation Ratio  

Innventure Trading Date Momentum

On January 29 2026 Innventure was traded for  3.53  at the closing time. Highest Innventure's price during the trading hours was 3.59  and the lowest price during the day was  3.25 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 29th of January did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 1.42% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Innventure to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Innventure

For every potential investor in Innventure, whether a beginner or expert, Innventure's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Innventure Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Innventure. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Innventure's price trends.

Innventure Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Innventure stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Innventure could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Innventure by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Innventure Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Innventure stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Innventure shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Innventure stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Innventure entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Innventure Risk Indicators

The analysis of Innventure's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Innventure's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting innventure stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Innventure

The number of cover stories for Innventure depends on current market conditions and Innventure's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Innventure is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Innventure's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Innventure Short Properties

Innventure's future price predictability will typically decrease when Innventure's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Innventure often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Innventure's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Innventure's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding44.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments11.1 M

Additional Tools for Innventure Stock Analysis

When running Innventure's price analysis, check to measure Innventure's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Innventure is operating at the current time. Most of Innventure's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Innventure's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Innventure's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Innventure to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.