IONQ Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| IONQ Stock | USD 47.25 2.08 4.22% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of IONQ Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 46.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 200.62. IONQ Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although IONQ's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of IONQ's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of IONQ fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of IONQ's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.46) | EPS Estimate Current Year (5.14) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.80) | Wall Street Target Price 75.17 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.44) |
Using IONQ hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of IONQ Inc from the perspective of IONQ response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards IONQ using IONQ's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards IONQ using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of IONQ's stock price.
IONQ Short Interest
An investor who is long IONQ may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about IONQ and may potentially protect profits, hedge IONQ with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 41.7124 | Short Percent 0.1404 | Short Ratio 1.45 | Shares Short Prior Month 61.6 M | 50 Day MA 62.2532 |
IONQ Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to IONQ's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in IONQ. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding IONQ can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around IONQ Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
IONQ Implied Volatility | 0.89 |
IONQ's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of IONQ Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if IONQ's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that IONQ stock will not fluctuate a lot when IONQ's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of IONQ Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 46.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 200.62.
IONQ after-hype prediction price | USD 47.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IONQ to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current IONQ contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that IONQ Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0556% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With IONQ trading at USD 47.25, that is roughly USD 0.0263 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating IONQ's daily price movement you should consider acquiring IONQ Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.89%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 IONQ Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast IONQ's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in IONQ's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for IONQ stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current IONQ's open interest, investors have to compare it to IONQ's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of IONQ is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in IONQ. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
IONQ Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine IONQ price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for IONQ using various technical indicators. When you analyze IONQ charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
IONQ Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of IONQ Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 46.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.29, mean absolute percentage error of 16.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 200.62.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IONQ Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IONQ's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
IONQ Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest IONQ | IONQ Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
IONQ Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting IONQ's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IONQ's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 41.24 and 52.20, respectively. We have considered IONQ's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IONQ stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IONQ stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.8868 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.2888 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.066 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 200.6193 |
Predictive Modules for IONQ
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IONQ Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.IONQ After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of IONQ at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in IONQ or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of IONQ, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
IONQ Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting IONQ's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on IONQ's historical news coverage. IONQ's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 41.72 and 52.78, respectively. We have considered IONQ's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
IONQ is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of IONQ Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
IONQ Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as IONQ is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading IONQ backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with IONQ, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 5.48 | 0.83 | 0.41 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
47.25 | 47.25 | 0.00 |
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IONQ Hype Timeline
IONQ Inc is currently traded for 47.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.83, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.41. IONQ is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.31%. %. The volatility of related hype on IONQ is about 410.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 46.84. About 42.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 5.84. IONQ Inc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IONQ to cross-verify your projections.IONQ Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to IONQ's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict IONQ's future price movements. Getting to know how IONQ's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how IONQ may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LOGI | Logitech International SA | (2.68) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.58 | (4.49) | 10.55 | |
| QBTS | D Wave Quantum | (1.09) | 18 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 13.23 | (10.71) | 29.56 | |
| RGTI | Rigetti Computing | 1.53 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 9.82 | (10.07) | 24.38 | |
| U | Unity Software | (2.68) | 7 per month | 3.21 | 0.07 | 7.12 | (6.24) | 26.04 | |
| FTV | Fortive Corp | (2.68) | 15 per month | 1.23 | 0.06 | 2.40 | (2.08) | 8.01 | |
| IT | Gartner | (2.68) | 17 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.48 | (3.83) | 15.43 | |
| GEN | Gen Digital | (0.11) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.26 | (1.83) | 7.70 | |
| CPAY | Corpay Inc | (0.30) | 8 per month | 1.83 | 0.05 | 3.76 | (3.06) | 11.04 |
Other Forecasting Options for IONQ
For every potential investor in IONQ, whether a beginner or expert, IONQ's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IONQ Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IONQ. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IONQ's price trends.IONQ Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IONQ stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IONQ could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IONQ by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
IONQ Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IONQ stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IONQ shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IONQ stock market strength indicators, traders can identify IONQ Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
IONQ Risk Indicators
The analysis of IONQ's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IONQ's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ionq stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.48 | |||
| Variance | 30.05 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for IONQ
The number of cover stories for IONQ depends on current market conditions and IONQ's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that IONQ is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about IONQ's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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IONQ Short Properties
IONQ's future price predictability will typically decrease when IONQ's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of IONQ Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential IONQ's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IONQ's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 213 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 340.3 M |
Additional Tools for IONQ Stock Analysis
When running IONQ's price analysis, check to measure IONQ's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IONQ is operating at the current time. Most of IONQ's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IONQ's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IONQ's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IONQ to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.