International Paper Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for International Paper is based on a synthetically constructed International Paperdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

International Paper 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of International Paper on the next trading day is expected to be 55.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.99, mean absolute percentage error of 16.97, and the sum of the absolute errors of 122.54.

International Paper Stock Forecast Pattern

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International Paper Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of International Paper stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent International Paper stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. International Paper 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for International Paper

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as International Paper. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 57.22 59.36 61.50 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 48.69 50.83 65.25 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 42.06 52.09 62.11 Details

11 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 32.31 35.50 39.41 Details

Other Forecasting Options for International Paper

For every potential investor in International, whether a beginner or expert, International Paper's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. International Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in International. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying International Paper's price trends.

International Paper Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

International Paper Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of International Paper's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of International Paper's current price.

International Paper Market Strength Events

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