International Paper Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through International Paper price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

International Paper Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of International Paper on the next trading day is expected to be 35.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.36, mean absolute percentage error of 8.44, and the sum of the absolute errors of 144.20.

International Paper Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest International Paper

International Paper Price Prediction

Buy or Sell Advice

International Paper Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of International Paper stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent International Paper stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as International Paper historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for International Paper

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as International Paper. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 36.78 39.34 41.90 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 35.43 44.02 46.58 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 32.74 40.93 49.11 Details

Other Forecasting Options for International Paper

For every potential investor in International, whether a beginner or expert, International Paper's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. International Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in International. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying International Paper's price trends.

International Paper Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

International Paper Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of International Paper's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of International Paper's current price.

International Paper Market Strength Events

International Paper Risk Indicators

Pair Trading with International Paper

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if International Paper position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in International Paper will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Additional Tools for International Stock Analysis