Amplify Digital Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| IPAY Etf | USD 53.37 0.11 0.21% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Amplify Digital Payments on the next trading day is expected to be 53.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.17. Amplify Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of Amplify Digital's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Amplify Digital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Amplify Digital Payments from the perspective of Amplify Digital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Amplify Digital Payments on the next trading day is expected to be 53.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.17. Amplify Digital after-hype prediction price | USD 53.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amplify Digital to cross-verify your projections. Amplify Digital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Amplify price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amplify using various technical indicators. When you analyze Amplify charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Amplify Digital Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 10th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Amplify Digital Payments on the next trading day is expected to be 53.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57, mean absolute percentage error of 0.55, and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.17.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amplify Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amplify Digital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Amplify Digital Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Amplify Digital | Amplify Digital Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Amplify Digital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Amplify Digital's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amplify Digital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 52.00 and 54.74, respectively. We have considered Amplify Digital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amplify Digital etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amplify Digital etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.6726 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0542 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5695 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0108 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 34.17 |
Predictive Modules for Amplify Digital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amplify Digital Payments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Amplify Digital
For every potential investor in Amplify, whether a beginner or expert, Amplify Digital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amplify Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amplify. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amplify Digital's price trends.Amplify Digital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amplify Digital etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amplify Digital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amplify Digital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Amplify Digital Payments Technical and Predictive Analytics
The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Amplify Digital's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Amplify Digital's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Amplify Digital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amplify Digital etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amplify Digital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amplify Digital etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Amplify Digital Payments entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 212.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.17) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 53.26 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 53.29 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.06 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.11) |
Amplify Digital Risk Indicators
The analysis of Amplify Digital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amplify Digital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amplify etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.05 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Variance | 1.87 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Amplify Digital Payments offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Amplify Digital's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Amplify Digital Payments Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Amplify Digital Payments Etf:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amplify Digital to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
The market value of Amplify Digital Payments is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amplify that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amplify Digital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amplify Digital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Amplify Digital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amplify Digital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Amplify Digital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amplify Digital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amplify Digital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.