Amplify Digital Etf Forward View - Simple Regression
| IPAY Etf | USD 48.60 0.74 1.50% |
Amplify Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength momentum indicator of Amplify Digital's share price is approaching 36. This usually indicates that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Amplify Digital, making its price go up or down. Momentum 36
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Amplify Digital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Amplify Digital Payments from the perspective of Amplify Digital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Amplify Digital Payments on the next trading day is expected to be 51.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 62.46. Amplify Digital after-hype prediction price | USD 48.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amplify Digital to cross-verify your projections. Amplify Digital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Amplify price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amplify using various technical indicators. When you analyze Amplify charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Amplify Digital Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Amplify Digital Payments on the next trading day is expected to be 51.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.02, mean absolute percentage error of 1.65, and the sum of the absolute errors of 62.46.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amplify Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amplify Digital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Amplify Digital Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Amplify Digital | Amplify Digital Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Amplify Digital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Amplify Digital's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amplify Digital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 50.04 and 52.46, respectively. We have considered Amplify Digital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amplify Digital etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amplify Digital etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.6091 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.024 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.02 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 62.4633 |
Predictive Modules for Amplify Digital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amplify Digital Payments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Amplify Digital After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Amplify Digital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Amplify Digital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Amplify Digital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Amplify Digital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Amplify Digital's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Amplify Digital's historical news coverage. Amplify Digital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 47.47 and 49.89, respectively. We have considered Amplify Digital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Amplify Digital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Amplify Digital Payments is based on 3 months time horizon.
Amplify Digital Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Amplify Digital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Amplify Digital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Amplify Digital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
48.60 | 48.68 | 0.16 |
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Amplify Digital Hype Timeline
Amplify Digital Payments is currently traded for 48.60. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Amplify is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 48.68 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Amplify Digital is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 48.60. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amplify Digital to cross-verify your projections.Amplify Digital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Amplify Digital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Amplify Digital's future price movements. Getting to know how Amplify Digital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Amplify Digital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FCPI | Fidelity Stocks for | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.82 | 0.01 | 1.05 | (1.36) | 3.30 | |
| SGDJ | Sprott Junior Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.05 | 0.17 | 5.13 | (3.93) | 20.15 | |
| HOLA | JP Morgan Exchange Traded | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.46 | 0.12 | 0.89 | (0.92) | 2.58 | |
| BINT | Exchange Traded Concepts | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.68 | 0.09 | 1.06 | (1.35) | 2.95 | |
| LCTD | BlackRock World ex | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.68 | 0.10 | 1.20 | (1.40) | 3.13 | |
| ISCB | iShares Morningstar Small Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.85 | 0.06 | 1.65 | (1.51) | 4.08 | |
| CHIQ | Global X MSCI | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.47 | (2.05) | 6.19 | |
| KBWY | Invesco KBW Premium | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.67 | 0.1 | 1.47 | (1.31) | 4.98 | |
| UWM | ProShares Ultra Russell2000 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.21 | 0.06 | 3.64 | (3.67) | 9.10 | |
| OAIM | OneAscent International Equity | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.45 | 0.13 | 0.99 | (1.13) | 3.51 |
Other Forecasting Options for Amplify Digital
For every potential investor in Amplify, whether a beginner or expert, Amplify Digital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amplify Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amplify. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amplify Digital's price trends.Amplify Digital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amplify Digital etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amplify Digital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amplify Digital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Amplify Digital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amplify Digital etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amplify Digital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amplify Digital etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Amplify Digital Payments entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Amplify Digital Risk Indicators
The analysis of Amplify Digital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amplify Digital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amplify etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9768 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Variance | 1.47 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Amplify Digital
The number of cover stories for Amplify Digital depends on current market conditions and Amplify Digital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Amplify Digital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Amplify Digital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amplify Digital to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
The market value of Amplify Digital Payments is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amplify that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amplify Digital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amplify Digital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Amplify Digital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amplify Digital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Amplify Digital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amplify Digital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Amplify Digital's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.