IQVIA Holdings Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| IQV Stock | USD 180.96 21.58 10.65% |
IQVIA Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of IQVIA Holdings' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.245 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 3.3904 | EPS Estimate Current Year 12.7369 | EPS Estimate Next Year 14.2346 | Wall Street Target Price 257.5 |
Using IQVIA Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of IQVIA Holdings from the perspective of IQVIA Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards IQVIA Holdings using IQVIA Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards IQVIA using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of IQVIA Holdings' stock price.
IQVIA Holdings Short Interest
An investor who is long IQVIA Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about IQVIA Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge IQVIA Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 191.4941 | Short Percent 0.0285 | Short Ratio 3.42 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.7 M | 50 Day MA 229.8088 |
IQVIA Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of IQVIA Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 180.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 196.16.IQVIA Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to IQVIA Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in IQVIA. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding IQVIA can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around IQVIA Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of IQVIA Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about IQVIA Holdings.
IQVIA Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.42 |
IQVIA Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of IQVIA Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if IQVIA Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that IQVIA Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when IQVIA Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of IQVIA Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 180.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 196.16. IQVIA Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 180.46 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IQVIA Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current IQVIA contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that IQVIA Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0263% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With IQVIA Holdings trading at USD 180.96, that is roughly USD 0.0475 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating IQVIA Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring IQVIA Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.42%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 IQVIA Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast IQVIA Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in IQVIA Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for IQVIA Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current IQVIA Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to IQVIA Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of IQVIA Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in IQVIA. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
IQVIA Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine IQVIA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for IQVIA using various technical indicators. When you analyze IQVIA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
IQVIA Holdings Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of IQVIA Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 180.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.27, mean absolute percentage error of 30.66, and the sum of the absolute errors of 196.16.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IQVIA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IQVIA Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
IQVIA Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest IQVIA Holdings | IQVIA Holdings Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
IQVIA Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting IQVIA Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IQVIA Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 178.65 and 183.27, respectively. We have considered IQVIA Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IQVIA Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IQVIA Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.6954 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.4917 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.2693 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.015 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 196.16 |
Predictive Modules for IQVIA Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IQVIA Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.IQVIA Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of IQVIA Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in IQVIA Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of IQVIA Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
IQVIA Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting IQVIA Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on IQVIA Holdings' historical news coverage. IQVIA Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 178.15 and 182.77, respectively. We have considered IQVIA Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
IQVIA Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of IQVIA Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
IQVIA Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as IQVIA Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading IQVIA Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with IQVIA Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 2.31 | 0.50 | 0.19 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
180.96 | 180.46 | 0.28 |
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IQVIA Holdings Hype Timeline
On the 5th of February IQVIA Holdings is traded for 180.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.5, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.19. IQVIA is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 180.46. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 78.31%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.28%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.17%. The volatility of related hype on IQVIA Holdings is about 202.28%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 180.77. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.86. IQVIA Holdings recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.27. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IQVIA Holdings to cross-verify your projections.IQVIA Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to IQVIA Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict IQVIA Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how IQVIA Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how IQVIA Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RMD | ResMed Inc | 0.59 | 8 per month | 1.17 | 0.06 | 2.13 | (2.26) | 5.71 | |
| A | Agilent Technologies | (1.53) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.90 | (2.58) | 7.85 | |
| ALC | Alcon AG | 0.45 | 11 per month | 1.02 | 0.04 | 3.24 | (1.98) | 7.05 | |
| MTD | Mettler Toledo International | (11.67) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.51 | (2.37) | 7.69 | |
| HUM | Humana Inc | 0.43 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.79 | (6.01) | 27.31 | |
| GEHC | GE HealthCare Technologies | 0.50 | 11 per month | 1.63 | 0.06 | 3.38 | (2.77) | 7.77 | |
| CAH | Cardinal Health | (2.23) | 10 per month | 1.22 | 0.07 | 2.54 | (2.01) | 5.51 | |
| WAT | Waters | 2.22 | 9 per month | 0.99 | 0.05 | 3.35 | (1.94) | 8.85 | |
| ILMN | Illumina | (0.17) | 10 per month | 1.73 | 0.04 | 3.90 | (2.87) | 9.23 | |
| HLN | Haleon plc | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.96 | 0.16 | 2.81 | (1.81) | 6.06 |
Other Forecasting Options for IQVIA Holdings
For every potential investor in IQVIA, whether a beginner or expert, IQVIA Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IQVIA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IQVIA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IQVIA Holdings' price trends.IQVIA Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IQVIA Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IQVIA Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IQVIA Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
IQVIA Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IQVIA Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IQVIA Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IQVIA Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify IQVIA Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 527074.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.91) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.89 | |||
| Day Median Price | 187.98 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 185.64 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (17.80) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (21.58) |
IQVIA Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of IQVIA Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IQVIA Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting iqvia stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.39 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.4 | |||
| Variance | 5.77 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for IQVIA Holdings
The number of cover stories for IQVIA Holdings depends on current market conditions and IQVIA Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that IQVIA Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about IQVIA Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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IQVIA Holdings Short Properties
IQVIA Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when IQVIA Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of IQVIA Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential IQVIA Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IQVIA Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 183.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 B |
Additional Tools for IQVIA Stock Analysis
When running IQVIA Holdings' price analysis, check to measure IQVIA Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IQVIA Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of IQVIA Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IQVIA Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IQVIA Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IQVIA Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.