IRhythm Technologies Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

IRTC Stock  USD 146.75  5.71  3.75%   
IRhythm Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast IRhythm Technologies stock prices and determine the direction of iRhythm Technologies's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of IRhythm Technologies' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of IRhythm Technologies' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of IRhythm Technologies' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with iRhythm Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting IRhythm Technologies' stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.0317
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.25)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.27)
Wall Street Target Price
221.2667
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.28)
Using IRhythm Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of iRhythm Technologies from the perspective of IRhythm Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards IRhythm Technologies using IRhythm Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards IRhythm using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of IRhythm Technologies' stock price.

IRhythm Technologies Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in IRhythm Technologies' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards IRhythm. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of IRhythm Technologies stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
159.5508
Short Percent
0.0956
Short Ratio
4.61
Shares Short Prior Month
2.3 M
50 Day MA
172.5745

IRhythm Relative Strength Index

The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of iRhythm Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 146.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 214.91.

iRhythm Technologies Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to IRhythm Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in IRhythm. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding IRhythm can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around iRhythm Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of IRhythm Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about IRhythm Technologies.

IRhythm Technologies Implied Volatility

    
  0.48  
IRhythm Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of iRhythm Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if IRhythm Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that IRhythm Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when IRhythm Technologies' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of iRhythm Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 146.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 214.91.

IRhythm Technologies after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 152.88  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IRhythm Technologies to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade IRhythm Stock refer to our How to Trade IRhythm Stock guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current IRhythm contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that iRhythm Technologies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.03% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With IRhythm Technologies trading at USD 146.75, that is roughly USD 0.044 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating IRhythm Technologies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring iRhythm Technologies options at the current volatility level of 0.48%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 IRhythm Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast IRhythm Technologies' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in IRhythm Technologies' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for IRhythm Technologies stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current IRhythm Technologies' open interest, investors have to compare it to IRhythm Technologies' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of IRhythm Technologies is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in IRhythm. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

IRhythm Technologies Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine IRhythm price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for IRhythm using various technical indicators. When you analyze IRhythm charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
IRhythm Technologies simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for iRhythm Technologies are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as iRhythm Technologies prices get older.

IRhythm Technologies Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of iRhythm Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 146.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.58, mean absolute percentage error of 22.50, and the sum of the absolute errors of 214.91.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IRhythm Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IRhythm Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

IRhythm Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest IRhythm Technologies  IRhythm Technologies Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

IRhythm Technologies Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting IRhythm Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IRhythm Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 143.99 and 149.51, respectively. We have considered IRhythm Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
146.75
143.99
Downside
146.75
Expected Value
149.51
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IRhythm Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IRhythm Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.386
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.4642
MADMean absolute deviation3.5818
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0212
SAESum of the absolute errors214.91
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting iRhythm Technologies forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent IRhythm Technologies observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for IRhythm Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as iRhythm Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IRhythm Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
150.12152.88155.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
137.21174.67177.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
150.85172.11193.37
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
201.35221.27245.61
Details

IRhythm Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of IRhythm Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in IRhythm Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of IRhythm Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

IRhythm Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting IRhythm Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on IRhythm Technologies' historical news coverage. IRhythm Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 150.12 and 155.64, respectively. We have considered IRhythm Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
146.75
150.12
Downside
152.88
After-hype Price
155.64
Upside
IRhythm Technologies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of iRhythm Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.

IRhythm Technologies Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as IRhythm Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading IRhythm Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with IRhythm Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.19 
2.76
  0.42 
  0.01 
8 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
146.75
152.88
0.28 
125.45  
Notes

IRhythm Technologies Hype Timeline

iRhythm Technologies is currently traded for 146.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.42, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. IRhythm is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 152.88 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 125.45%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.28%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.19%. The volatility of related hype on IRhythm Technologies is about 3780.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 146.74. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 591.84 M. Net Loss for the year was (113.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 494.26 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IRhythm Technologies to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade IRhythm Stock refer to our How to Trade IRhythm Stock guide.

IRhythm Technologies Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to IRhythm Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict IRhythm Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how IRhythm Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how IRhythm Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BRKRBruker(2.02)9 per month 2.09  0.08  4.93 (3.76) 12.82 
GKOSGlaukos Corp(1.08)10 per month 1.86  0.14  5.29 (3.93) 14.33 
BTSGBrightSpring Health Services(1.17)13 per month 2.17  0.07  3.11 (4.02) 9.60 
RDNTRadNet Inc(0.11)10 per month 0.00 (0.09) 4.30 (3.36) 10.72 
CHEChemed Corp 1.11 8 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.25 (2.24) 5.87 
CRSPCrispr Therapeutics AG(0.12)12 per month 0.00 (0.09) 5.31 (5.47) 19.81 
PCVXVaxcyte 0.70 9 per month 2.49  0.1  6.71 (3.46) 15.14 
BLCOBausch Lomb Corp(0.58)9 per month 1.56  0.05  2.96 (3.18) 10.35 
ARWRArrowhead Pharmaceuticals 0.66 8 per month 2.97  0.15  10.85 (5.77) 32.02 
TFXTeleflex Incorporated 1.88 12 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.55 (3.77) 22.60 

Other Forecasting Options for IRhythm Technologies

For every potential investor in IRhythm, whether a beginner or expert, IRhythm Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IRhythm Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IRhythm. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IRhythm Technologies' price trends.

IRhythm Technologies Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IRhythm Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IRhythm Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IRhythm Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

IRhythm Technologies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IRhythm Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IRhythm Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IRhythm Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify iRhythm Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

IRhythm Technologies Risk Indicators

The analysis of IRhythm Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IRhythm Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting irhythm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for IRhythm Technologies

The number of cover stories for IRhythm Technologies depends on current market conditions and IRhythm Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that IRhythm Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about IRhythm Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

IRhythm Technologies Short Properties

IRhythm Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when IRhythm Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of iRhythm Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential IRhythm Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IRhythm Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding31.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments535.6 M
When determining whether iRhythm Technologies offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of IRhythm Technologies' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Irhythm Technologies Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Irhythm Technologies Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IRhythm Technologies to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade IRhythm Stock refer to our How to Trade IRhythm Stock guide.
You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Will Health Care Equipment & Supplies sector continue expanding? Could IRhythm diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of IRhythm Technologies. Market participants price IRhythm higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every IRhythm Technologies data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share
(1.61)
Revenue Per Share
22.111
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.307
Return On Assets
(0.03)
Return On Equity
(0.53)
The market value of iRhythm Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of IRhythm that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of IRhythm Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is IRhythm Technologies' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because IRhythm Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect IRhythm Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IRhythm Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IRhythm Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, IRhythm Technologies' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.