Israel Canada Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing

ISCN Stock  ILS 1,814  22.00  1.20%   
Israel Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Israel Canada stock prices and determine the direction of Israel Canada's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Israel Canada's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the value of rsi of Israel Canada's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Israel Canada's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Israel Canada, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Israel Canada hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Israel Canada from the perspective of Israel Canada response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Israel Canada on the next trading day is expected to be 1,815 with a mean absolute deviation of 36.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,177.

Israel Canada after-hype prediction price

    
  ILA 1814.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Israel Canada to cross-verify your projections.

Israel Canada Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Israel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Israel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Israel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Israel Canada - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Israel Canada prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Israel Canada price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Israel Canada.

Israel Canada Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Israel Canada on the next trading day is expected to be 1,815 with a mean absolute deviation of 36.28, mean absolute percentage error of 2,444, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,177.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Israel Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Israel Canada's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Israel Canada Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Israel Canada  Israel Canada Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Israel Canada Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Israel Canada's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Israel Canada's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,812 and 1,818, respectively. We have considered Israel Canada's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1,814
1,815
Expected Value
1,818
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Israel Canada stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Israel Canada stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -7.1655
MADMean absolute deviation36.2766
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0209
SAESum of the absolute errors2176.5934
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Israel Canada observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Israel Canada observations.

Predictive Modules for Israel Canada

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Israel Canada. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,8111,8141,817
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,7851,7881,995
Details

Israel Canada After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Israel Canada at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Israel Canada or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Israel Canada, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Israel Canada Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Israel Canada's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Israel Canada's historical news coverage. Israel Canada's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1,811 and 1,817, respectively. We have considered Israel Canada's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1,814
1,814
After-hype Price
1,817
Upside
Israel Canada is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Israel Canada is based on 3 months time horizon.

Israel Canada Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Israel Canada is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Israel Canada backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Israel Canada, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.24 
2.81
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1,814
1,814
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Israel Canada Hype Timeline

Israel Canada is currently traded for 1,814on Tel Aviv Stock Exchange of Israel. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Israel is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on Israel Canada is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,814. About 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.26. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Israel Canada last dividend was issued on the 27th of March 2022. The entity had 100:1 split on the 26th of April 2007. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Israel Canada to cross-verify your projections.

Israel Canada Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Israel Canada's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Israel Canada's future price movements. Getting to know how Israel Canada's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Israel Canada may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ALRPRAlrov Properties Lodgings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.92 (3.80) 12.01 
SMTSummit 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.27 (3.17) 9.44 
BLSRBlue Square Real 0.00 0 per month 1.35  0.02  2.56 (2.21) 16.00 
RIT1Reit 1 0.00 0 per month 1.37 (0) 2.36 (2.27) 7.93 
AURAAura Investments 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 4.39 (3.04) 13.84 
ISRSIsras Investment 0.00 0 per month 1.36  0.06  3.49 (2.89) 7.88 
AFREAfrica Israel Residences 0.00 0 per month 1.96  0.02  5.51 (3.24) 13.25 
PRSKPrashkovsky 0.00 0 per month 1.77 (0.03) 4.85 (3.18) 9.98 
CRSRCarasso Real Estate 0.00 0 per month 1.93 (0) 6.04 (3.14) 11.22 
ASHGAshtrom Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.10) 3.23 (3.42) 14.03 

Other Forecasting Options for Israel Canada

For every potential investor in Israel, whether a beginner or expert, Israel Canada's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Israel Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Israel. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Israel Canada's price trends.

Israel Canada Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Israel Canada stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Israel Canada could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Israel Canada by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Israel Canada Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Israel Canada stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Israel Canada shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Israel Canada stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Israel Canada entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Israel Canada Risk Indicators

The analysis of Israel Canada's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Israel Canada's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting israel stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Israel Canada

The number of cover stories for Israel Canada depends on current market conditions and Israel Canada's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Israel Canada is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Israel Canada's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Other Information on Investing in Israel Stock

Israel Canada financial ratios help investors to determine whether Israel Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Israel with respect to the benefits of owning Israel Canada security.