Thayer Ventures Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

ISPOW Stock  USD 0.01  0  11.11%   
Thayer Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Thayer Ventures' share price is approaching 43. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Thayer Ventures, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 43

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Thayer Ventures' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Thayer Ventures and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Thayer Ventures' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Thayer Ventures Acquisition, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Thayer Ventures' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.54)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.20)
Using Thayer Ventures hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Thayer Ventures Acquisition from the perspective of Thayer Ventures response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Thayer Ventures Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0008 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.05.

Thayer Ventures after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.01  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Thayer Ventures to cross-verify your projections.

Thayer Ventures Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Thayer price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Thayer using various technical indicators. When you analyze Thayer charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Thayer Ventures price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Thayer Ventures Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Thayer Ventures Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0008, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000101, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.05.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Thayer Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Thayer Ventures' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Thayer Ventures Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Thayer Ventures  Thayer Ventures Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Thayer Ventures Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Thayer Ventures' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Thayer Ventures' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00008 and 9.00, respectively. We have considered Thayer Ventures' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.01
0.00008
Downside
0.01
Expected Value
9.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Thayer Ventures stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Thayer Ventures stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria104.3076
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation8.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0836
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0472
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Thayer Ventures Acquisition historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Thayer Ventures

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thayer Ventures Acqu. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.018.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.018.96
Details

Thayer Ventures After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Thayer Ventures at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Thayer Ventures or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Thayer Ventures, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Thayer Ventures Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Thayer Ventures' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Thayer Ventures' historical news coverage. Thayer Ventures' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 8.96, respectively. We have considered Thayer Ventures' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.01
0.01
After-hype Price
8.96
Upside
Thayer Ventures is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Thayer Ventures Acqu is based on 3 months time horizon.

Thayer Ventures Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Thayer Ventures is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Thayer Ventures backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Thayer Ventures, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.14 
8.99
 0.00  
 0.00  
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.01
0.01
25.00 
0.00  
Notes

Thayer Ventures Hype Timeline

Thayer Ventures Acqu is currently traded for 0.01. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Thayer is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.01 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 25.0%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Thayer Ventures is about 54733.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.01. Thayer Ventures Acquisition has accumulated 206.06 M in total debt. Thayer Ventures Acqu has a current ratio of 0.49, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Thayer Ventures' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Thayer Ventures to cross-verify your projections.

Thayer Ventures Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Thayer Ventures' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Thayer Ventures' future price movements. Getting to know how Thayer Ventures' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Thayer Ventures may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Thayer Ventures

For every potential investor in Thayer, whether a beginner or expert, Thayer Ventures' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Thayer Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Thayer. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Thayer Ventures' price trends.

Thayer Ventures Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Thayer Ventures stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Thayer Ventures could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Thayer Ventures by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Thayer Ventures Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Thayer Ventures stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Thayer Ventures shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Thayer Ventures stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Thayer Ventures Acquisition entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Thayer Ventures Risk Indicators

The analysis of Thayer Ventures' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Thayer Ventures' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting thayer stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Thayer Ventures

The number of cover stories for Thayer Ventures depends on current market conditions and Thayer Ventures' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Thayer Ventures is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Thayer Ventures' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Thayer Ventures Short Properties

Thayer Ventures' future price predictability will typically decrease when Thayer Ventures' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Thayer Ventures Acquisition often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Thayer Ventures' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thayer Ventures' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments35 M

Additional Tools for Thayer Stock Analysis

When running Thayer Ventures' price analysis, check to measure Thayer Ventures' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Thayer Ventures is operating at the current time. Most of Thayer Ventures' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Thayer Ventures' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Thayer Ventures' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Thayer Ventures to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.