Intuitive Surgical Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

ISRG Stock  USD 547.87  2.75  0.50%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Intuitive Surgical on the next trading day is expected to be 533.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.77 and the sum of the absolute errors of 595.89. Intuitive Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Intuitive Surgical's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The current Inventory Turnover is estimated to decrease to 1.86. The current Payables Turnover is estimated to decrease to 8.30. The Intuitive Surgical's current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 1.6 B, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is projected to decrease to roughly 333.9 M.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Intuitive Surgical price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Intuitive Surgical Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Intuitive Surgical on the next trading day is expected to be 533.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.77, mean absolute percentage error of 148.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 595.89.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Intuitive Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Intuitive Surgical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Intuitive Surgical Stock Forecast Pattern

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Intuitive Surgical Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Intuitive Surgical's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Intuitive Surgical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 532.03 and 535.39, respectively. We have considered Intuitive Surgical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
547.87
532.03
Downside
533.71
Expected Value
535.39
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Intuitive Surgical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Intuitive Surgical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.1103
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation9.7686
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0196
SAESum of the absolute errors595.8859
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Intuitive Surgical historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Intuitive Surgical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intuitive Surgical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
548.94550.62552.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
470.71472.39605.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
496.37524.64552.92
Details
31 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
302.81332.76369.36
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Intuitive Surgical

For every potential investor in Intuitive, whether a beginner or expert, Intuitive Surgical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Intuitive Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Intuitive. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Intuitive Surgical's price trends.

View Intuitive Surgical Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Intuitive Surgical Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Intuitive Surgical's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Intuitive Surgical's current price.

Intuitive Surgical Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Intuitive Surgical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Intuitive Surgical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Intuitive Surgical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Intuitive Surgical entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Intuitive Surgical Risk Indicators

The analysis of Intuitive Surgical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Intuitive Surgical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting intuitive stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Intuitive Surgical is a strong investment it is important to analyze Intuitive Surgical's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Intuitive Surgical's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Intuitive Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Intuitive Surgical to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Intuitive Stock please use our How to Invest in Intuitive Surgical guide.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Intuitive Surgical. If investors know Intuitive will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Intuitive Surgical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.345
Earnings Share
6.22
Revenue Per Share
22.22
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.169
Return On Assets
0.0795
The market value of Intuitive Surgical is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Intuitive that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Intuitive Surgical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Intuitive Surgical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Intuitive Surgical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Intuitive Surgical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Intuitive Surgical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Intuitive Surgical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Intuitive Surgical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.