Icu Medical Stock Price Prediction
| ICUI Stock | USD 165.95 2.35 1.40% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
58
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.24) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.46 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.6017 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.13 | Wall Street Target Price 203.4 |
Using ICU Medical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ICU Medical from the perspective of ICU Medical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ICU Medical using ICU Medical's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ICU using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ICU Medical's stock price.
ICU Medical Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in ICU Medical's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards ICU. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of ICU Medical stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 144.828 | Short Percent 0.0479 | Short Ratio 3.57 | Shares Short Prior Month 838.1 K | 50 Day MA 162.128 |
ICU Medical Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to ICU Medical's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ICU. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ICU can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ICU Medical. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of ICU Medical's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about ICU Medical.
ICU Medical Implied Volatility | 0.47 |
ICU Medical's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ICU Medical stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ICU Medical's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ICU Medical stock will not fluctuate a lot when ICU Medical's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ICU Medical to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ICU because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
ICU Medical after-hype prediction price | USD 170.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current ICU contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that ICU Medical will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0294% per day over the life of the 2025-03-21 option contract. With ICU Medical trading at USD 165.95, that is roughly USD 0.0487 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating ICU Medical's daily price movement you should consider acquiring ICU Medical options at the current volatility level of 0.47%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
ICU |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ICU Medical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ICU Medical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ICU Medical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ICU Medical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ICU Medical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ICU Medical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ICU Medical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ICU Medical's historical news coverage. ICU Medical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 168.25 and 172.07, respectively. We have considered ICU Medical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ICU Medical is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ICU Medical is based on 3 months time horizon.
ICU Medical Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ICU Medical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ICU Medical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ICU Medical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 1.90 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 12 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
165.95 | 170.16 | 0.02 |
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ICU Medical Hype Timeline
ICU Medical is currently traded for 165.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. ICU is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 170.16. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 60.32%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.03%. The volatility of related hype on ICU Medical is about 1645.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 165.95. About 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of ICU Medical was currently reported as 83.76. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.7. ICU Medical recorded a loss per share of 4.55. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 3:2 split on the 18th of March 2002. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 12 days. Check out ICU Medical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.ICU Medical Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ICU Medical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ICU Medical's future price movements. Getting to know how ICU Medical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ICU Medical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MMSI | Merit Medical Systems | (0.04) | 9 per month | 1.02 | 0.08 | 3.02 | (2.02) | 7.20 | |
| COO | The Cooper Companies, | 1.02 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.79 | (2.22) | 6.27 | |
| ANGO | AngioDynamics | 0.1 | 7 per month | 2.10 | 0.15 | 4.93 | (4.03) | 42.96 | |
| ATR | AptarGroup | 0.96 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.22 | (1.87) | 6.04 | |
| HOLX | Hologic | (0.39) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.81 | (1.97) | 7.68 | |
| HAE | Haemonetics | (1.68) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.57 | (3.47) | 16.85 | |
| NVST | Envista Holdings Corp | (0.11) | 8 per month | 2.10 | 0.05 | 3.72 | (4.09) | 15.55 | |
| AKYA | Akoya Biosciences | (0.09) | 8 per month | 5.88 | 0.03 | 7.09 | (6.58) | 40.94 | |
| ATRC | AtriCure | 0.02 | 9 per month | 2.05 | 0.16 | 6.06 | (4.11) | 25.03 | |
| ATRI | ATRION | (0.10) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 0.94 | (1.35) | 6.29 | |
| XRAY | Dentsply Sirona | (0.96) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.96 | (3.22) | 30.55 |
ICU Medical Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ICU price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ICU using various technical indicators. When you analyze ICU charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About ICU Medical Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of ICU Medical stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ICU Medical, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ICU Medical based on analysis of ICU Medical hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ICU Medical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ICU Medical's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 35.49 | 29.43 | 33.84 | 32.15 | PTB Ratio | 1.8 | 1.13 | 1.3 | 1.24 |
Story Coverage note for ICU Medical
The number of cover stories for ICU Medical depends on current market conditions and ICU Medical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ICU Medical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ICU Medical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ICU Medical Short Properties
ICU Medical's future price predictability will typically decrease when ICU Medical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ICU Medical often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ICU Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ICU Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 254.7 M |
Complementary Tools for ICU Stock analysis
When running ICU Medical's price analysis, check to measure ICU Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ICU Medical is operating at the current time. Most of ICU Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ICU Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ICU Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ICU Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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