Itau Unibanco Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| ITUB Stock | USD 8.95 0.07 0.79% |
Itau Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Itau Unibanco stock prices and determine the direction of Itau Unibanco Banco's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Itau Unibanco's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Itau Unibanco's share price is above 70 at the present time. This usually indicates that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Itau, making its price go up or down. Momentum 77
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.091 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2135 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.7193 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.8241 | Wall Street Target Price 7.65 |
Using Itau Unibanco hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Itau Unibanco Banco from the perspective of Itau Unibanco response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Itau Unibanco using Itau Unibanco's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Itau using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Itau Unibanco's stock price.
Itau Unibanco Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Itau Unibanco's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Itau. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Itau Unibanco stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 6.7274 | Short Percent 0.009 | Short Ratio 2.44 | Shares Short Prior Month 53.5 M | 50 Day MA 7.352 |
Itau Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Itau Unibanco Banco on the next trading day is expected to be 8.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.49.Itau Unibanco Banco Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Itau Unibanco's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Itau. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Itau can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Itau Unibanco Banco. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Itau Unibanco's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Itau Unibanco.
Itau Unibanco Implied Volatility | 1.99 |
Itau Unibanco's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Itau Unibanco Banco stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Itau Unibanco's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Itau Unibanco stock will not fluctuate a lot when Itau Unibanco's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Itau Unibanco Banco on the next trading day is expected to be 8.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.49. Itau Unibanco after-hype prediction price | USD 8.73 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Itau Unibanco to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Itau contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Itau Unibanco Banco will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.12% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Itau Unibanco trading at USD 8.95, that is roughly USD 0.0111 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Itau Unibanco's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Itau Unibanco Banco options at the current volatility level of 1.99%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Itau Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Itau Unibanco's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Itau Unibanco's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Itau Unibanco stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Itau Unibanco's open interest, investors have to compare it to Itau Unibanco's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Itau Unibanco is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Itau. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Itau Unibanco Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Itau price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Itau using various technical indicators. When you analyze Itau charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Itau Unibanco Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Itau Unibanco Banco on the next trading day is expected to be 8.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.49.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Itau Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Itau Unibanco's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Itau Unibanco Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Itau Unibanco | Itau Unibanco Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Itau Unibanco Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Itau Unibanco's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Itau Unibanco's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.00 and 10.83, respectively. We have considered Itau Unibanco's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Itau Unibanco stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Itau Unibanco stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.9119 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0536 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1269 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0171 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.49 |
Predictive Modules for Itau Unibanco
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Itau Unibanco Banco. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Itau Unibanco's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Itau Unibanco After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Itau Unibanco at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Itau Unibanco or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Itau Unibanco, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Itau Unibanco Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Itau Unibanco's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Itau Unibanco's historical news coverage. Itau Unibanco's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.82 and 10.64, respectively. We have considered Itau Unibanco's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Itau Unibanco is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Itau Unibanco Banco is based on 3 months time horizon.
Itau Unibanco Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Itau Unibanco is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Itau Unibanco backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Itau Unibanco, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.45 | 1.91 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 13 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 13 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
8.95 | 8.73 | 0.34 |
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Itau Unibanco Hype Timeline
Itau Unibanco Banco is currently traded for 8.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Itau is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 8.73. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.34%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.45%. The volatility of related hype on Itau Unibanco is about 3028.05%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.98. About 28.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Itau Unibanco was currently reported as 3.68. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.58. Itau Unibanco Banco last dividend was issued on the 3rd of February 2026. The entity had 103:100 split on the 29th of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 13 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Itau Unibanco to cross-verify your projections.Itau Unibanco Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Itau Unibanco's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Itau Unibanco's future price movements. Getting to know how Itau Unibanco's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Itau Unibanco may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GGAL | Grupo Financiero Galicia | (0.55) | 34 per month | 1.83 | 0.14 | 7.30 | (3.58) | 43.45 | |
| BMA | Banco Macro SA | 0.48 | 8 per month | 1.27 | 0.17 | 7.48 | (3.17) | 41.26 | |
| BSBR | Banco Santander Brasil | (0.09) | 9 per month | 1.73 | 0.21 | 3.66 | (2.09) | 10.37 | |
| LYG | Lloyds Banking Group | (0.02) | 6 per month | 0.99 | 0.21 | 2.84 | (2.11) | 6.27 | |
| BSAC | Banco Santander Chile | (0.24) | 11 per month | 1.14 | 0.22 | 2.85 | (2.33) | 5.90 | |
| BCH | Banco De Chile | 0.02 | 11 per month | 1.24 | 0.28 | 2.72 | (2.69) | 6.98 | |
| BBDO | Banco Bradesco SA | 0.04 | 9 per month | 1.58 | 0.15 | 4.25 | (3.44) | 8.84 | |
| KEY-PI | KeyCorp | 1.03 | 20 per month | 0.16 | (0.18) | 0.49 | (0.36) | 1.65 | |
| SUPV | Grupo Supervielle SA | (0.41) | 7 per month | 2.46 | 0.17 | 11.28 | (4.61) | 54.23 | |
| BBAR | BBVA Banco Frances | (0.02) | 7 per month | 1.85 | 0.19 | 8.68 | (4.44) | 46.86 | |
| BBD | Banco Bradesco SA | (0.01) | 11 per month | 2.00 | 0.14 | 4.05 | (2.51) | 12.78 | |
| LLDTF | Lloyds Banking Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.73 | 0.12 | 10.40 | (5.51) | 24.58 | |
| DB | Deutsche Bank AG | 0.59 | 7 per month | 1.66 | 0.11 | 3.16 | (3.03) | 9.04 |
Other Forecasting Options for Itau Unibanco
For every potential investor in Itau, whether a beginner or expert, Itau Unibanco's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Itau Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Itau. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Itau Unibanco's price trends.Itau Unibanco Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Itau Unibanco stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Itau Unibanco could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Itau Unibanco by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Itau Unibanco Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Itau Unibanco stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Itau Unibanco shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Itau Unibanco stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Itau Unibanco Banco entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Itau Unibanco Risk Indicators
The analysis of Itau Unibanco's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Itau Unibanco's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting itau stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.85 | |||
| Variance | 3.41 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.13 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.11 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.45) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Itau Unibanco
The number of cover stories for Itau Unibanco depends on current market conditions and Itau Unibanco's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Itau Unibanco is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Itau Unibanco's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Itau Unibanco Short Properties
Itau Unibanco's future price predictability will typically decrease when Itau Unibanco's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Itau Unibanco Banco often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Itau Unibanco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Itau Unibanco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.9 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 637.4 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Itau Unibanco to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Is Diversified Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Itau Unibanco. Market participants price Itau higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Itau Unibanco assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.091 | Dividend Share 2.321 | Earnings Share 0.75 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.017 |
Itau Unibanco Banco's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Itau's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Itau Unibanco's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Itau Unibanco's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Itau Unibanco's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Itau Unibanco is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Itau Unibanco's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.