IShares Basic Etf Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| IYM Etf | USD 175.28 3.63 2.11% |
IShares Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength momentum indicator of IShares Basic's etf price is about 68. This usually indicates that the etf is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling IShares, making its price go up or down. Momentum 68
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using IShares Basic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of iShares Basic Materials from the perspective of IShares Basic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards IShares Basic using IShares Basic's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards IShares using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of IShares Basic's stock price.
IShares Basic Implied Volatility | 0.34 |
IShares Basic's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of iShares Basic Materials stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if IShares Basic's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that IShares Basic stock will not fluctuate a lot when IShares Basic's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of iShares Basic Materials on the next trading day is expected to be 173.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.87 and the sum of the absolute errors of 110.38. IShares Basic after-hype prediction price | USD 172.83 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IShares Basic to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current IShares contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that iShares Basic Materials will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0213% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With IShares Basic trading at USD 175.28, that is roughly USD 0.0372 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating IShares Basic's daily price movement you should consider acquiring iShares Basic Materials options at the current volatility level of 0.34%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 IShares Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast IShares Basic's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in IShares Basic's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for IShares Basic stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current IShares Basic's open interest, investors have to compare it to IShares Basic's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of IShares Basic is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in IShares. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
IShares Basic Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine IShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for IShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze IShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
IShares Basic Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of iShares Basic Materials on the next trading day is expected to be 173.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.87, mean absolute percentage error of 5.40, and the sum of the absolute errors of 110.38.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IShares Basic's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
IShares Basic Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest IShares Basic | IShares Basic Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
IShares Basic Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting IShares Basic's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IShares Basic's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 172.31 and 174.62, respectively. We have considered IShares Basic's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IShares Basic etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IShares Basic etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.1218 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.8802 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.8708 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.012 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 110.38 |
Predictive Modules for IShares Basic
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as iShares Basic Materials. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IShares Basic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
IShares Basic After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of IShares Basic at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in IShares Basic or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of IShares Basic, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
IShares Basic Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting IShares Basic's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on IShares Basic's historical news coverage. IShares Basic's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 154.49 and 173.98, respectively. We have considered IShares Basic's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
IShares Basic is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of iShares Basic Materials is based on 3 months time horizon.
IShares Basic Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as IShares Basic is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading IShares Basic backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with IShares Basic, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 1.15 | 1.18 | 0.06 | 5 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
175.28 | 172.83 | 0.69 |
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IShares Basic Hype Timeline
On the 3rd of February iShares Basic Materials is traded for 175.28. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. IShares is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 172.83 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 33.24%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.69%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.34%. The volatility of related hype on IShares Basic is about 605.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 175.34. The company reported the last year's revenue of 10.97 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 260.81 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 10.97 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IShares Basic to cross-verify your projections.IShares Basic Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to IShares Basic's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict IShares Basic's future price movements. Getting to know how IShares Basic's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how IShares Basic may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IYZ | iShares Telecommunications ETF | (0.12) | 3 per month | 0.89 | 0.09 | 1.64 | (1.55) | 4.40 | |
| INDY | iShares India 50 | 0.07 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.89 | (1.00) | 3.53 | |
| IYT | iShares Transportation Average | 0.45 | 6 per month | 0.75 | 0.10 | 2.52 | (1.40) | 5.07 | |
| IGE | iShares North American | (0.91) | 2 per month | 0.87 | 0.19 | 1.58 | (1.56) | 4.78 | |
| IAT | iShares Regional Banks | 0.05 | 3 per month | 0.74 | 0.19 | 2.42 | (1.19) | 5.68 | |
| IHE | iShares Pharmaceuticals ETF | (0.09) | 5 per month | 0.46 | 0.22 | 1.82 | (1.16) | 4.45 | |
| REM | iShares Mortgage Real | (0.23) | 2 per month | 0.98 | 0.03 | 1.76 | (1.20) | 6.66 | |
| QLC | FlexShares Quality Large | 0.29 | 1 per month | 0.76 | (0) | 1.07 | (1.10) | 4.10 | |
| FDRR | Fidelity Dividend ETF | (0.03) | 3 per month | 0.61 | (0.01) | 1.16 | (1.05) | 3.43 | |
| IXG | iShares Global Financials | 2.42 | 3 per month | 0.68 | 0.05 | 1.22 | (1.34) | 3.52 |
Other Forecasting Options for IShares Basic
For every potential investor in IShares, whether a beginner or expert, IShares Basic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IShares Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IShares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IShares Basic's price trends.IShares Basic Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IShares Basic etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IShares Basic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IShares Basic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
IShares Basic Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IShares Basic etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IShares Basic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IShares Basic etf market strength indicators, traders can identify iShares Basic Materials entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
IShares Basic Risk Indicators
The analysis of IShares Basic's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IShares Basic's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ishares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9332 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9249 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.18 | |||
| Variance | 1.39 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.55 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8555 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.98) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for IShares Basic
The number of cover stories for IShares Basic depends on current market conditions and IShares Basic's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that IShares Basic is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about IShares Basic's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IShares Basic to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
The market value of iShares Basic Materials is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of IShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of IShares Basic's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is IShares Basic's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because IShares Basic's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect IShares Basic's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IShares Basic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IShares Basic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, IShares Basic's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.